Wales Premier League
HolywellHomeLDLLL
v
PenybontAwayWWLWW91378
Holywell winDrawPenybont win
HolywellHomeLDLLLPenybontAwayWWLWW- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.65 0.84 : 2.81
- Favourite
- 78% Penybont
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Holywell vs Penybont
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 8.95 | 5.15 | 1.25 | 1.40 | 2.56 | 1.75 | 1.95 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Penybont to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Holywell vs Penybont prediction: Holywell 8.95 (1xBet), draw 5.15 (1xBet), Penybont 1.25 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.40 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.56 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.75 (1xBet) and no 1.95 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
78%
Our prediction
Penybont to win
Double chancePenybont or draw
91% chance1.01
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
69% chance1.40
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.75
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
88% chance1.14fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-2
10% chance9.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Penybont, full-time Penybont
55% chance1.81fair
Holywell vs Penybont prediction
Holywell vs Penybont prediction, who wins and at what price
Holywell vs Penybont prediction for the Wales Premier League on Friday, 23 October 2026: the model makes Penybont the clear favourite at 78%, with the draw at 13% and Holywell at 9%.
Expected goals are 0.84 for Holywell and 2.81 for Penybont, a total of 3.65, which puts over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 54%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Penybont to win is the main selection, rated 78%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.25. That price implies 80%, 2 points over the model figure.
For a safer line, penybont or draw covers 91% of outcomes at 1.01.
The draw sits at only 13%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Holywell stand at 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Penybont show 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for Holywell vs Penybont with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 31% and under 3.5 51%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 88% and over 2.5 at 69%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 69%; 1xBet pay 1.40.
Both teams to score is 54%: Holywell find the net in 57% of simulated matches and Penybont in 94%. Holywell keep a clean sheet 6% of the time and Penybont 43%.
Correct score: 0-2 leads at 10.3%, then 0-3 at 9.6% and 1-2 at 8.6%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Penybont, full-time Penybont is the top combination at 55%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 81%.
All markets, Holywell vs Penybont
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 9% / 13% / 78% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Holywell to win9%8.95
Draw13%5.15
Penybont to win78%1.25
Holywell, draw no bet10%fair 10.00
Penybont, draw no bet90%fair 1.11
Double chance
Holywell or draw22%3.27
Penybont or draw91%1.01
Holywell or Penybont (no draw)87%1.10
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 2.5 goals69%1.40
Over 3.5 goals50%fair 2.02
Over 4.5 goals30%fair 3.31
Under 1.5 goals12%fair 8.20
Under 2.5 goals31%2.56
Under 3.5 goals51%fair 1.98
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.75
Not both teams to score46%1.95
Halves
First-half goal81%fair 1.24
Over 1.5 first-half goals49%fair 2.04
Second-half goal87%fair 1.15
Team goals
Holywell to score57%fair 1.76
Penybont to score94%fair 1.06
Holywell clean sheet6%fair 16.67
Penybont clean sheet43%fair 2.31
Holywell to win to nil6%fair 18.18
Penybont to win to nil40%fair 2.52
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
0-210.3%
0-39.6%
1-28.6%
1-38.1%
0-17.3%
0-46.8%
Half-time / full-time
Penybont / Penybont55.4%
Draw / Penybont19.1%
Draw / Draw7.4%
Holywell / Holywell4.5%
Holywell / Penybont3.5%
Questions about Holywell vs Penybont
Who is favourite in Holywell vs Penybont?
The model gives Penybont the best chance at 78%, with the draw at 13%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Holywell vs Penybont?
0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 10.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 69% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Holywell vs Penybont?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Holywell find the net in 57% of simulated matches and Penybont in 94%.
When do Holywell play Penybont?
Kick-off is 18:45 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.