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Live 35 UTC
Wales Premier League Round 14 Friday, 23 October 2026 FT
Colwyn BayHomeWLWDW
2:2Half-time 0:1
Cardiff METAwayWWLDL
602317
Colwyn Bay winDrawCardiff MET win
Kick-off
Fri 23 Oct
Expected goals
2.79
1.88 : 0.91
Favourite
60%
Colwyn Bay
Over 2.5 goals
53%
model chance
Both teams to score
51%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.483.925.691.721.961.811.88Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Colwyn Bay to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Colwyn Bay price at 1.48, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.92 and 1xBet have Cardiff MET longest at 5.69.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.72 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.96 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.81 (1xBet) and no 1.88 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

60%

Our prediction

Colwyn Bay to win
StrongExpected goals 1.88 : 0.91-11.1% against the best price
Double chanceColwyn Bay or draw
83% chance1.07
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.72
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.81
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.70fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Colwyn Bay, full-time Colwyn Bay
38% chance2.60fair

Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET prediction

Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET prediction and best bet

Colwyn Bay are the clear favourite in the Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET prediction, rated 60% to win this Wales Premier League match on Friday, 23 October 2026. Cardiff MET sit at 17% and the draw at 23%.

The goal expectancy is 2.79 in total, split 1.88 to Colwyn Bay and 0.91 to Cardiff MET. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 53% and both teams to score 51%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Colwyn Bay to win is the main selection, rated 60%. At 1.48 with 1xBet the market prices it at 68%, against 60% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Colwyn Bay or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.07.

Form check: Colwyn Bay have won 3 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 3 conceded, Cardiff MET 2 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 10.

How many goals in Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 77%, over 2.5 at 53%, over 3.5 at 31%; under 2.5 is 48% and under 3.5 is 69%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.72.

BTTS yes stands at 51%. Colwyn Bay score in 85% of simulations against a 15% clean sheet for Cardiff MET; Cardiff MET score in 60% while Colwyn Bay shut them out 40% of the time.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 11.5%, then 2-0 at 10.9% and 1-1 at 10.5%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Colwyn Bay, full-time Colwyn Bay leads at 38%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 60% / 23% / 17% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Colwyn Bay to win60%1.48
Draw23%3.92
Cardiff MET to win17%5.69
Colwyn Bay, draw no bet78%fair 1.29
Cardiff MET, draw no bet23%fair 4.44

Double chance

Colwyn Bay or draw83%1.07
Cardiff MET or draw40%2.32
Colwyn Bay or Cardiff MET (no draw)78%1.17

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.72
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.27
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.62
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.29
Under 2.5 goals48%1.96
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.44

BTTS

Both teams to score51%1.81
Not both teams to score49%1.88

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.80
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28

Team goals

Colwyn Bay to score85%fair 1.18
Cardiff MET to score60%fair 1.68
Colwyn Bay clean sheet40%fair 2.48
Cardiff MET clean sheet15%fair 6.54
Colwyn Bay to win to nil37%fair 2.70
Cardiff MET to win to nil14%fair 7.14

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-011.5%
2-010.9%
1-110.5%
2-19.9%
3-06.8%
3-16.2%

Half-time / full-time

Colwyn Bay / Colwyn Bay38.4%
Draw / Colwyn Bay18.9%
Draw / Draw13.4%
Cardiff MET / Cardiff MET9.7%
Draw / Cardiff MET6.9%

Questions about Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET

Who is favourite in Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET?

The model gives Colwyn Bay the best chance at 60%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET?

The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Colwyn Bay find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Cardiff MET in 60%.

What time does Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET kick off?

Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET starts at 18:45 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Colwyn Bay v Cardiff METColwyn Bay to win, 60%
1.48Bet