Wales Premier League
The New SaintsHomeWWWWD
0:0Half-time 0:0
GAP Connah S Quay FCAwayWWWWD721711
The New Saints winDrawGAP Connah S Quay FC win
The New SaintsHomeWWWWDGAP Connah S Quay FCAwayWWWWD- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.15 2.34 : 0.81
- Favourite
- 72% The New Saints
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.31 | 4.70 | 7.65 | 1.55 | 2.17 | 1.84 | 1.85 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.33 | 5.51 | 7.35 | 1.45 | 2.63 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.34 | 4.90 | 7.40 | 1.53 | 2.36 | 1.79 | 1.87 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.33 | 5.51 | 7.35 | 1.45 | 2.63 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.33 | 5.51 | 7.35 | 1.45 | 2.63 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
The New Saints to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC prediction: The New Saints 1.34 (BC.Game), draw 5.51 (22Bet), GAP Connah S Quay FC 7.65 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.55 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.63 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.84 (1xBet) and no 1.93 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
72%
Our prediction
The New Saints to win
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw
89% chance1.07
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.55
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.84
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
12% chance8.55fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time The New Saints, full-time The New Saints
49% chance2.06fair
The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC prediction
The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC prediction and best bet
The The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC prediction leans to The New Saints: 72% against 11% for GAP Connah S Quay FC, with 17% left for the draw, in the Wales Premier League on Saturday, 31 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 3.15 in total, split 2.34 to The New Saints and 0.81 to GAP Connah S Quay FC. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 51%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The New Saints to win is the main selection, rated 72%. The best price in our comparison is 1.34 at BC.Game, which implies 75%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC.
For a safer line, the New Saints or draw covers 89% of outcomes at 1.07.
With the draw down at 17%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Over the last 5 matches The New Saints stand at 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; GAP Connah S Quay FC show 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC reads 82% for over 1.5, 60% for over 2.5 and 39% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 40%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.55 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 51%: The New Saints find the net in 90% of simulated matches and GAP Connah S Quay FC in 56%. The New Saints keep a clean sheet 45% of the time and GAP Connah S Quay FC 10%.
Correct score: 2-0 leads at 11.7%, then 1-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 9.5%.
With the top scoreline at 11.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time The New Saints, full-time The New Saints leads at 49%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 72% / 17% / 11% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
The New Saints to win72%1.34
Draw17%5.51
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win11%7.65
The New Saints, draw no bet87%fair 1.15
GAP Connah S Quay FC, draw no bet13%fair 7.52
Double chance
The New Saints or draw89%1.07
GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw28%3.15
The New Saints or GAP Connah S Quay FC (no draw)83%1.13
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.55
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.59
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.76
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.62
Under 2.5 goals40%2.63
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.63
BTTS
Both teams to score51%1.84
Not both teams to score49%1.93
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.42
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
The New Saints to score90%fair 1.11
GAP Connah S Quay FC to score56%fair 1.80
The New Saints clean sheet45%fair 2.25
GAP Connah S Quay FC clean sheet10%fair 10.42
The New Saints to win to nil41%fair 2.44
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win to nil9%fair 11.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-011.7%
1-010%
2-19.5%
3-09.2%
1-18.1%
3-17.4%
Half-time / full-time
The New Saints / The New Saints48.5%
Draw / The New Saints19.9%
Draw / Draw10.1%
GAP Connah S Quay FC / GAP Connah S Quay FC6%
Draw / GAP Connah S Quay FC4.4%
Questions about The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
The New Saints or GAP Connah S Quay FC: which side does the model back?
The model gives The New Saints the best chance at 72%, with the draw at 17%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 60% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. The New Saints find the net in 90% of simulated matches and GAP Connah S Quay FC in 56%.
When do The New Saints play GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Kick-off is 17:15 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.