USL Championship
New Mexico UnitedHomeWWLWW
2:0Half-time 1:0
Phoenix RisingAwayLWWDL432631
New Mexico United winDrawPhoenix Rising win
New Mexico UnitedHomeWWLWWPhoenix RisingAwayLWWDL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.99 1.62 : 1.37
- Favourite
- 43% New Mexico United
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.16 | 3.38 | 2.89 | 1.59 | 2.10 | 1.52 | 2.34 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.26 | 3.59 | 2.86 | 1.65 | 2.16 | 1.57 | 2.32 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.18 | 3.50 | 2.84 | 1.60 | 2.22 | 1.50 | 2.32 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.26 | 3.69 | 2.82 | 1.63 | 2.20 | 1.59 | 2.28 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.26 | 3.69 | 2.82 | 1.63 | 2.20 | 1.59 | 2.28 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
New Mexico United to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising prediction: New Mexico United 2.26 (22Bet), draw 3.69 (Betwinner), Phoenix Rising 2.89 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.65 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.22 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.59 (Melbet) and no 2.34 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
New Mexico United or Phoenix Rising (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fairVoid
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.93fairVoid
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time New Mexico United, full-time New Mexico United
26% chance3.80fairVoid
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fairVoid
New Mexico United v Phoenix Rising head to head
1New Mexico United wins
0Draws
0Phoenix Rising wins
- 4 Oct 26New Mexico United2:1Phoenix Rising
1 meeting since coverage began, 3 goals in total: New Mexico United scored 2, Phoenix Rising scored 1.
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising odds movement
New Mexico United win2.26-0.09
Draw3.69unchanged
Phoenix Rising win2.89-0.05
Over 2.5 goals1.65-0.04
Under 2.5 goals2.22unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising prediction
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising prediction, who wins and at what price
New Mexico United are marginally ahead in the New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising prediction, rated 43% to win this USL Championship match on Sunday, 1 November 2026. Phoenix Rising sit at 32% and the draw at 26%.
Expected goals are 1.62 for New Mexico United and 1.37 for Phoenix Rising, a total of 2.99, which puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 62%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
New Mexico United or Phoenix Rising (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. At 1.26 with 22Bet the market prices it at 79%, against 74% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches New Mexico United stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Phoenix Rising show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 35%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.65 at 22Bet.
Both teams to score is 62%: New Mexico United find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Phoenix Rising in 75%. New Mexico United keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and Phoenix Rising 20%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising: 1-1 (11.2%), 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (8.1%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time New Mexico United, full-time New Mexico United leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 43% / 26% / 32% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
New Mexico United to win43%2.26
Draw26%3.69
Phoenix Rising to win32%2.89
New Mexico United, draw no bet58%fair 1.74
Phoenix Rising, draw no bet43%fair 2.35
Double chance
New Mexico United or draw69%1.40
Phoenix Rising or draw57%1.60
New Mexico United or Phoenix Rising (no draw)74%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.65
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.85
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.46
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.98
Under 2.5 goals43%2.22
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.54
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.59
Not both teams to score39%2.34
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.57
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
New Mexico United to score80%fair 1.25
Phoenix Rising to score75%fair 1.34
New Mexico United clean sheet25%fair 3.94
Phoenix Rising clean sheet20%fair 5.05
New Mexico United to win to nil23%fair 4.27
Phoenix Rising to win to nil18%fair 5.49
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.2%
2-19%
1-08.1%
1-27.6%
0-16.9%
2-06.6%
Half-time / full-time
New Mexico United / New Mexico United26.3%
Phoenix Rising / Phoenix Rising18.9%
Draw / New Mexico United14.3%
Draw / Draw13.5%
Draw / Phoenix Rising11.3%
Questions about New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising
Who is favourite in New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
The model gives New Mexico United the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. New Mexico United find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Phoenix Rising in 75%.
When do New Mexico United play Phoenix Rising?
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising starts at 23:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.