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Live 20 UTC
USL Championship Round of 16 Monday, 2 November 2026 FT
Sacramento RepublicHomeWDDWW
1:0Half-time 0:0
FC TulsaAwayWDDLL
572617
Sacramento Republic winDrawFC Tulsa win
Kick-off
Mon 2 Nov
Expected goals
2.27
1.54 : 0.73
Favourite
57%
Sacramento Republic
Over 2.5 goals
39%
model chance
Both teams to score
42%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.593.485.272.221.562.171.60Bet
22Bet1.653.305.072.271.542.151.61Bet
BC.Game1.683.354.902.261.582.061.62Bet
Betwinner1.693.684.862.311.572.381.54Bet
Melbet1.693.684.862.311.572.381.54Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Sacramento Republic to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa prediction: Sacramento Republic 1.69 (Melbet), draw 3.68 (Melbet), FC Tulsa 5.27 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.31 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.58 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.38 (Melbet) and no 1.62 (BC.Game).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

57%

Our prediction

Sacramento Republic to win
StrongWonExpected goals 1.54 : 0.73-4.3% against the best price
Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw
83% chance1.16Won
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
61% chance1.58
BTTSNot both teams to score
58% chance1.62Won
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
66% chance1.51fairLost
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
16% chance6.29fairWon
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sacramento Republic, full-time Sacramento Republic
35% chance2.87fairLost

Sacramento Republic v FC Tulsa head to head

0Sacramento Republic wins
1Draw
0FC Tulsa wins
  • 4 Oct 26FC Tulsa1:1Sacramento Republic

1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: Sacramento Republic scored 1, FC Tulsa scored 1.

Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa odds movement

Sacramento Republic win1.69+0.02
Draw3.68-0.02
FC Tulsa win5.27-0.34
Over 2.5 goals2.31-0.03
Under 2.5 goals1.58-0.04

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa prediction

Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa prediction, who wins and at what price

The Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa prediction leans to Sacramento Republic: 57% against 17% for FC Tulsa, with 26% left for the draw, in the USL Championship on Monday, 2 November 2026.

Sacramento Republic are expected to score 1.54 and FC Tulsa 0.73, so the total line is 2.27 goals; over 2.5 lands at 39% and BTTS at 42%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Sacramento Republic to win is the main selection, rated 57%. The best price in our comparison is 1.69 at Melbet, which implies 59%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa.

Sacramento Republic or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.16.

Sacramento Republic average 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, FC Tulsa 0.8 and 1.4 across 5.

A low-scoring Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa reads 66% for over 1.5, 39% for over 2.5 and 20% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 61%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; BC.Game pay 1.58.

Both teams to score is 42%: Sacramento Republic find the net in 79% of simulated matches and FC Tulsa in 52%. Sacramento Republic keep a clean sheet 48% of the time and FC Tulsa 21%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 15.9%, followed by 2-0 (12.3%) and 1-1 (11.6%).

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sacramento Republic, full-time Sacramento Republic leads at 35%. A goal before the break is rated 64%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Sacramento Republic to win57%1.69
Draw26%3.68
FC Tulsa to win17%5.27
Sacramento Republic, draw no bet77%fair 1.31
FC Tulsa, draw no bet23%fair 4.27

Double chance

Sacramento Republic or draw83%1.16
FC Tulsa or draw43%2.10
Sacramento Republic or FC Tulsa (no draw)74%1.25

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals66%fair 1.51
Over 2.5 goals39%2.31
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 5.13
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.50
Under 1.5 goals34%fair 2.96
Under 2.5 goals61%1.58
Under 3.5 goals81%fair 1.24

BTTS

Both teams to score42%2.38
Not both teams to score58%1.62

Halves

First-half goal64%fair 1.56
Over 1.5 first-half goals27%fair 3.68
Second-half goal71%fair 1.40

Team goals

Sacramento Republic to score79%fair 1.27
FC Tulsa to score52%fair 1.93
Sacramento Republic clean sheet48%fair 2.07
FC Tulsa clean sheet21%fair 4.67
Sacramento Republic to win to nil44%fair 2.26
FC Tulsa to win to nil16%fair 6.29

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-015.9%
2-012.3%
1-111.6%
0-010.3%
2-18.9%
0-17.5%

Half-time / full-time

Sacramento Republic / Sacramento Republic34.8%
Draw / Sacramento Republic19.7%
Draw / Draw17.6%
FC Tulsa / FC Tulsa9.4%
Draw / FC Tulsa7.4%

Questions about Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa

Who will win Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa?

The model gives Sacramento Republic the best chance at 57%, with the draw at 26%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa correct score: what does the model say?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 39% backs the same picture with less variance.

Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 42%. Sacramento Republic find the net in 79% of simulated matches and FC Tulsa in 52%.

What time does Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa kick off?

Kick-off is 02:00 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Sacramento Republic v FC TulsaSacramento Republic to win, 57%
1.69Bet