USL Championship
El Paso LocomotiveHomeLWLLW
0:1Half-time 0:0
New Mexico UnitedAwayWWLWW552223
El Paso Locomotive winDrawNew Mexico United win
El Paso LocomotiveHomeLWLLWNew Mexico UnitedAwayWWLWW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.19 1.98 : 1.21
- Favourite
- 55% El Paso Locomotive
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.66 | 3.94 | 4.00 | 1.44 | 2.43 | 1.48 | 2.45 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
El Paso Locomotive to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United are 1.66 for El Paso Locomotive at 1xBet, 3.94 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.00 for New Mexico United at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.44 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.43 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (1xBet) and no 2.45 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
55%
Our prediction
El Paso Locomotive to win
Double chanceEl Paso Locomotive or New Mexico United (no draw)
78% chance1.17
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.44
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.21fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.10fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time El Paso Locomotive, full-time El Paso Locomotive
35% chance2.84fair
El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United prediction
El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United prediction, who wins and at what price
El Paso Locomotive are a narrow favourite in the El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United prediction, rated 55% to win this USL Championship match on Sunday, 25 October 2026. New Mexico United sit at 23% and the draw at 22%.
Expected goals are 1.98 for El Paso Locomotive and 1.21 for New Mexico United, a total of 3.19, which puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 62%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United is el Paso Locomotive to win, a 55% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.66. That price implies 60%, 5 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, el Paso Locomotive or New Mexico United (no draw) covers 78% of outcomes at 1.17.
The draw sits at only 22%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches El Paso Locomotive stand at 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; New Mexico United show 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 61%, over 3.5 at 40%; under 2.5 is 39% and under 3.5 is 61%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; 1xBet pay 1.44.
BTTS yes stands at 62%. El Paso Locomotive score in 86% of simulations against a 14% clean sheet for New Mexico United; New Mexico United score in 70% while El Paso Locomotive shut them out 30% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United: 1-1 (9.9%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.2%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time El Paso Locomotive, full-time El Paso Locomotive leads at 35%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
El Paso Locomotive to win55%1.66
Draw22%3.94
New Mexico United to win23%4.00
El Paso Locomotive, draw no bet71%fair 1.41
New Mexico United, draw no bet29%fair 3.44
Double chance
El Paso Locomotive or draw77%1.17
New Mexico United or draw45%1.98
El Paso Locomotive or New Mexico United (no draw)78%1.17
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.44
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.53
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.59
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.78
Under 2.5 goals39%2.43
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.65
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.48
Not both teams to score38%2.45
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.38
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21
Team goals
El Paso Locomotive to score86%fair 1.16
New Mexico United to score70%fair 1.42
El Paso Locomotive clean sheet30%fair 3.36
New Mexico United clean sheet14%fair 7.25
El Paso Locomotive to win to nil27%fair 3.65
New Mexico United to win to nil13%fair 7.87
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.9%
2-19.8%
1-08.2%
2-08.1%
3-16.4%
1-26%
Half-time / full-time
El Paso Locomotive / El Paso Locomotive35.2%
Draw / El Paso Locomotive16.7%
New Mexico United / New Mexico United13.1%
Draw / Draw11.9%
Draw / New Mexico United8.2%
Questions about El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United
El Paso Locomotive or New Mexico United: which side does the model back?
The model gives El Paso Locomotive the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 61%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. El Paso Locomotive find the net in 86% of simulated matches and New Mexico United in 70%.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United and where is the result shown?
El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United starts at 00:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.