Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor prediction

Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor prediction, who wins and at what price

Ümraniyespor host Kayserispor on Sunday, 8 November 2026 in the 1. Lig, and the model has Kayserispor at 43%, the draw at 27% and Ümraniyespor at 30%: that is the Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor prediction in one line.

Ümraniyespor are expected to score 1.12 and Kayserispor 1.39, so the total line is 2.51 goals; over 2.5 lands at 46% and BTTS at 50%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is Ümraniyespor or Kayserispor (no draw) at 73%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Form check: Ümraniyespor have won 3 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 3 conceded, Kayserispor 2 of 5 scoring 12 and conceding 10.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor

On the goal lines Ümraniyespor vs Kayserispor reads 72% for over 1.5, 46% for over 2.5 and 25% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 54%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%.

BTTS yes stands at 50%. Ümraniyespor score in 67% of simulations against a 33% clean sheet for Kayserispor; Kayserispor score in 75% while Ümraniyespor shut them out 25% of the time.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.7%, then 0-1 at 11.3% and 1-0 at 9.1%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Kayserispor, full-time Kayserispor leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.