Tunisia Ligue 1
US MonastirienneHomeDW
1:0Half-time 0:0
Progrès Sakiet EddaïerAwayWL513118
US Monastirienne winDrawProgrès Sakiet Eddaïer win
US MonastirienneHomeDWProgrès Sakiet EddaïerAwayWL- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.90 1.25 : 0.65
- Favourite
- 51% US Monastirienne
- Over 2.5 goals
- 29% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 36% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.84 | 2.84 | 4.70 | 2.74 | 1.35 | 2.41 | 1.48 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
US Monastirienne to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best US Monastirienne price at 1.84, 1xBet lead the draw at 2.84 and 1xBet have Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer longest at 4.70.
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.74 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.35 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.41 (1xBet) and no 1.48 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
51%
Our prediction
US Monastirienne to win
Double chanceUS Monastirienne or draw
82% chance1.12
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
71% chance1.35
BTTSNot both teams to score
64% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
57% chance1.77fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
19% chance5.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time US Monastirienne, full-time US Monastirienne
30% chance3.33fair
US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer prediction
US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer prediction, who wins and at what price
US Monastirienne host Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer on Sunday, 18 October 2026 in the Tunisia Ligue 1, and the model has US Monastirienne at 51%, the draw at 31% and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer at 18%: that is the US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.25 for US Monastirienne and 0.65 for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, a total of 1.90, which puts over 2.5 goals at 29% and both teams to score at 36%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
US Monastirienne to win is the main selection, rated 51%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.84. That price implies 54%, 4 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, uS Monastirienne or draw covers 82% of outcomes at 1.12.
A 31% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
A low-scoring US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 57%, over 2.5 at 29%, over 3.5 at 13%; under 2.5 is 71% and under 3.5 is 88%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 71%; 1xBet pay 1.35.
BTTS yes stands at 36%. US Monastirienne score in 71% of simulations against a 29% clean sheet for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer; Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer score in 48% while US Monastirienne shut them out 52% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 18.7%, followed by 0-0 (15%) and 1-1 (12.2%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time US Monastirienne, full-time US Monastirienne is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 58%.
Every market for US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
The grid built from 1.25 and 0.65 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
US Monastirienne to win51%1.84
Draw31%2.84
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer to win18%4.70
US Monastirienne, draw no bet74%fair 1.36
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, draw no bet27%fair 3.77
Double chance
US Monastirienne or draw82%1.12
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer or draw49%1.77
US Monastirienne or Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer (no draw)69%1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 1.5 goals57%fair 1.77
Over 2.5 goals29%2.74
Over 3.5 goals13%fair 8.00
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 22.73
Under 1.5 goals43%fair 2.30
Under 2.5 goals71%1.35
Under 3.5 goals88%fair 1.14
BTTS
Both teams to score36%2.41
Not both teams to score64%1.48
Halves
First-half goal58%fair 1.74
Over 1.5 first-half goals21%fair 4.74
Second-half goal65%fair 1.54
Team goals
US Monastirienne to score71%fair 1.40
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer to score48%fair 2.09
US Monastirienne clean sheet52%fair 1.92
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer clean sheet29%fair 3.48
US Monastirienne to win to nil47%fair 2.15
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer to win to nil17%fair 5.99
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
1-018.7%
0-015%
1-112.2%
2-011.7%
0-19.7%
2-17.6%
Half-time / full-time
US Monastirienne / US Monastirienne30%
Draw / Draw22.1%
Draw / US Monastirienne19.3%
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer / Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer10.2%
Draw / Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer8.4%
Questions about US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
US Monastirienne or Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer: which side does the model back?
The model gives US Monastirienne the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 31%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 18.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 29%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
The BTTS yes line is rated 36%. US Monastirienne find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer in 48%.
When do US Monastirienne play Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
Kick-off is 13:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.