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Live 25 UTC
Tunisia Ligue 1 Round 6 Sunday, 18 October 2026 FT
Olympique BéjaHomeLLD
1:2Half-time 1:2
ES SahelAwayLW
263341
Olympique Béja winDrawES Sahel win
Kick-off
Sun 18 Oct
Expected goals
2.13
0.91 : 1.22
Favourite
42%
ES Sahel
Over 2.5 goals
36%
model chance
Both teams to score
44%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.582.812.112.381.462.041.66Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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ES Sahel to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel prediction: Olympique Béja 3.58 (1xBet), draw 2.81 (1xBet), ES Sahel 2.11 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.38 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.46 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.04 (1xBet) and no 1.66 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

74%

Our prediction

ES Sahel or draw
LeanExpected goals 0.91 : 1.22-10.1% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
64% chance1.46
BTTSNot both teams to score
56% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
63% chance1.59fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
15% chance6.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time ES Sahel, full-time ES Sahel
25% chance3.97fair
First halfFirst-half goal
62% chance1.62fair

Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel prediction

Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel prediction and best bet

ES Sahel are marginally ahead in the Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel prediction, rated 42% to win this Tunisia Ligue 1 match on Sunday, 18 October 2026. Olympique Béja sit at 26% and the draw at 33%.

Olympique Béja are expected to score 0.91 and ES Sahel 1.22, so the total line is 2.13 goals; over 2.5 lands at 36% and BTTS at 44%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

ES Sahel or draw is the main selection, rated 74%. At 1.21 with 1xBet the market prices it at 83%, against 74% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

The draw is live at 33%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

A low-scoring Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel reads 63% for over 1.5, 36% for over 2.5 and 17% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 64%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 64%, best priced 1.46 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 44%, built from Olympique Béja scoring in 60% of runs and ES Sahel in 71%; clean sheets come at 30% for Olympique Béja and 40% for ES Sahel.

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 14.5%, followed by 1-1 (13.2%) and 0-0 (11.9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time ES Sahel, full-time ES Sahel leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 62%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Olympique Béja to win26%3.58
Draw33%2.81
ES Sahel to win42%2.11
Olympique Béja, draw no bet38%fair 2.62
ES Sahel, draw no bet62%fair 1.62

Double chance

Olympique Béja or draw58%1.57
ES Sahel or draw74%1.21
Olympique Béja or ES Sahel (no draw)68%1.33

Goals

Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals63%fair 1.59
Over 2.5 goals36%2.38
Over 3.5 goals17%fair 5.99
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 15.38
Under 1.5 goals37%fair 2.69
Under 2.5 goals64%1.46
Under 3.5 goals83%fair 1.20

BTTS

Both teams to score44%2.04
Not both teams to score56%1.66

Halves

First-half goal62%fair 1.62
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 4.02
Second-half goal69%fair 1.45

Team goals

Olympique Béja to score60%fair 1.68
ES Sahel to score71%fair 1.42
Olympique Béja clean sheet30%fair 3.39
ES Sahel clean sheet40%fair 2.48
Olympique Béja to win to nil24%fair 4.24
ES Sahel to win to nil37%fair 2.70

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97

Most likely scores

0-114.5%
1-113.2%
0-011.9%
1-010.8%
0-28.8%
1-28%

Half-time / full-time

ES Sahel / ES Sahel25.2%
Draw / Draw20.1%
Draw / ES Sahel16.3%
Olympique Béja / Olympique Béja15.2%
Draw / Olympique Béja11.1%

Questions about Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel

Who is favourite in Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel?

The model gives ES Sahel the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 33%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 14.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 36%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 44%. Olympique Béja find the net in 60% of simulated matches and ES Sahel in 71%.

What time does Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel kick off?

Kick-off is 13:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Olympique Béja v ES SahelES Sahel or draw, 74%
1.21Bet