Tunisia Ligue 1
US Ben GuerdaneHomeWWWW
1:0Half-time 0:0
Stade TunisienAwayWLW373429
US Ben Guerdane winDrawStade Tunisien win
US Ben GuerdaneHomeWWWWStade TunisienAwayWLW- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.88 1.02 : 0.86
- Favourite
- 37% US Ben Guerdane
- Over 2.5 goals
- 29% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 39% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.55 | 2.58 | 2.92 | 2.92 | 1.31 | 2.29 | 1.53 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
US Ben Guerdane to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien are 2.55 for US Ben Guerdane at 1xBet, 2.58 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.92 for Stade Tunisien at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 89.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.92 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.31 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.29 (1xBet) and no 1.53 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
71%
Our prediction
US Ben Guerdane or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
72% chance1.31
BTTSNot both teams to score
61% chance1.53
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
56% chance1.78fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
16% chance6.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
23% chance4.31fair
First halfFirst-half goal
57% chance1.75fair
US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien prediction
US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien prediction, who wins and at what price
US Ben Guerdane are marginally ahead in the US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien prediction, rated 37% to win this Tunisia Ligue 1 match on Friday, 23 October 2026. Stade Tunisien sit at 29% and the draw at 34%.
US Ben Guerdane are expected to score 1.02 and Stade Tunisien 0.86, so the total line is 1.88 goals; over 2.5 lands at 29% and BTTS at 39%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien is uS Ben Guerdane or draw, a 71% chance. At 1.28 with 1xBet the market prices it at 78%, against 71% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
The draw is live at 34%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
US Ben Guerdane average 1.5 goals scored and 0.2 conceded across their last 4, Stade Tunisien 1.0 and 0.7 across 3.
A low-scoring US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 72% and under 3.5 88%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 56% and over 2.5 at 29%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 72%, best priced 1.31 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 39%, built from US Ben Guerdane scoring in 64% of runs and Stade Tunisien in 58%; clean sheets come at 42% for US Ben Guerdane and 36% for Stade Tunisien.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 15.6%, then 0-0 at 15.3% and 1-1 at 13.4%.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 57%.
All markets, US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
US Ben Guerdane to win37%2.55
Draw34%2.58
Stade Tunisien to win29%2.92
US Ben Guerdane, draw no bet57%fair 1.77
Stade Tunisien, draw no bet43%fair 2.30
Double chance
US Ben Guerdane or draw71%1.28
Stade Tunisien or draw63%1.37
US Ben Guerdane or Stade Tunisien (no draw)66%1.36
Goals
Over 0.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 1.5 goals56%fair 1.78
Over 2.5 goals29%2.92
Over 3.5 goals12%fair 8.20
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 23.81
Under 1.5 goals44%fair 2.28
Under 2.5 goals72%1.31
Under 3.5 goals88%fair 1.14
BTTS
Both teams to score39%2.29
Not both teams to score61%1.53
Halves
First-half goal57%fair 1.75
Over 1.5 first-half goals21%fair 4.81
Second-half goal64%fair 1.55
Team goals
US Ben Guerdane to score64%fair 1.56
Stade Tunisien to score58%fair 1.73
US Ben Guerdane clean sheet42%fair 2.36
Stade Tunisien clean sheet36%fair 2.77
US Ben Guerdane to win to nil34%fair 2.91
Stade Tunisien to win to nil26%fair 3.79
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.05
Even number of goals51%fair 1.95
Most likely scores
1-015.6%
0-015.3%
1-113.4%
0-113.1%
2-07.9%
2-16.8%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw23.2%
US Ben Guerdane / US Ben Guerdane21.6%
Stade Tunisien / Stade Tunisien16.3%
Draw / US Ben Guerdane15.3%
Draw / Stade Tunisien12.3%
Questions about US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien
Who is favourite in US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?
The model gives US Ben Guerdane the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 34%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 29%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. US Ben Guerdane find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Stade Tunisien in 58%.
When is US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 13:30 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.