Tunisia Ligue 1
ES TunisHomeWLWD
Sat 7 Nov
US MonastirienneAwayDW512722
ES Tunis winDrawUS Monastirienne win
ES TunisHomeWLWDUS MonastirienneAwayDW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.29 1.44 : 0.85
- Favourite
- 51% ES Tunis
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 44% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
51%
Our prediction
ES Tunis to win
1.97fair
Double chanceES Tunis or draw
78% chance1.29fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
60% chance1.66fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
56% chance1.77fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.50fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time ES Tunis, full-time ES Tunis
31% chance3.26fair
ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne prediction
Our ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne prediction and pick
ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne prediction for the Tunisia Ligue 1 on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model makes ES Tunis a narrow favourite at 51%, with the draw at 27% and US Monastirienne at 22%.
Expected goals are 1.44 for ES Tunis and 0.85 for US Monastirienne, a total of 2.29, which puts over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 44%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is eS Tunis to win at 51%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
ES Tunis or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne
Under 2.5 goals is rated 60% and under 3.5 80%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 67% and over 2.5 at 40%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 60%.
Both teams to score is 44%: ES Tunis find the net in 76% of simulated matches and US Monastirienne in 57%. ES Tunis keep a clean sheet 43% of the time and US Monastirienne 24%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne: 1-0 (14.6%), 1-1 (12.4%) and 2-0 (10.5%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 14.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time ES Tunis, full-time ES Tunis leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 64%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
ES Tunis to win51%fair 1.97
Draw27%fair 3.70
US Monastirienne to win22%fair 4.48
ES Tunis, draw no bet70%fair 1.44
US Monastirienne, draw no bet31%fair 3.28
Double chance
ES Tunis or draw78%fair 1.29
US Monastirienne or draw49%fair 2.03
ES Tunis or US Monastirienne (no draw)73%fair 1.37
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.50
Over 2.5 goals40%fair 2.51
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.05
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.00
Under 2.5 goals60%fair 1.66
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25
BTTS
Both teams to score44%fair 2.29
Not both teams to score56%fair 1.77
Halves
First-half goal64%fair 1.56
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.64
Second-half goal72%fair 1.40
Team goals
ES Tunis to score76%fair 1.31
US Monastirienne to score57%fair 1.75
ES Tunis clean sheet43%fair 2.34
US Monastirienne clean sheet24%fair 4.22
ES Tunis to win to nil39%fair 2.54
US Monastirienne to win to nil21%fair 4.88
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-014.6%
1-112.4%
2-010.5%
0-010.1%
2-18.9%
0-18.6%
Half-time / full-time
ES Tunis / ES Tunis30.7%
Draw / ES Tunis18.1%
Draw / Draw18%
US Monastirienne / US Monastirienne12.1%
Draw / US Monastirienne9%
Questions about ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne
Who is favourite in ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne?
The model gives ES Tunis the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 27%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 40% backs the same picture with less variance.
ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 44%. ES Tunis find the net in 76% of simulated matches and US Monastirienne in 57%.
What time does ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne kick off?
ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne starts at 13:30 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.