Schweizer Cup
FC AarauHomeLLWLW
2:0Half-time 0:0
FC ZurichAwayDWLWW332344
FC Aarau winDrawFC Zurich win
FC AarauHomeLLWLWFC ZurichAwayDWLWW- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.29 1.50 : 1.79
- Favourite
- 45% FC Zurich
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 66% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
FC Aarau vs FC Zurich betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.94 | 3.80 | 2.10 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.44 | 2.60 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
FC Zurich to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for FC Aarau vs FC Zurich are 2.94 for FC Aarau at 1xBet, 3.80 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.10 for FC Zurich at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.46 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.38 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.44 (1xBet) and no 2.60 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
78%
Our prediction
FC Aarau or FC Zurich (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.46
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.44
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Zurich, full-time FC Zurich
28% chance3.64fair
First halfFirst-half goal
77% chance1.30fair
FC Aarau vs FC Zurich prediction
FC Aarau vs FC Zurich prediction, who wins and at what price
The FC Aarau vs FC Zurich prediction leans to FC Zurich: 45% against 33% for FC Aarau, with 23% left for the draw, in the Schweizer Cup on Sunday, 18 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.50 for FC Aarau and 1.79 for FC Zurich, a total of 3.29, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 66%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for FC Aarau vs FC Zurich is fC Aarau or FC Zurich (no draw), a 78% chance. At 1.23 with 1xBet the market prices it at 81%, against 78% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on FC Aarau vs FC Zurich.
Over the last 5 matches FC Aarau stand at 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; FC Zurich show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for FC Aarau vs FC Zurich with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 84%, over 2.5 at 63%, over 3.5 at 42%; under 2.5 is 37% and under 3.5 is 58%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 63%; 1xBet pay 1.46.
BTTS yes stands at 66%. FC Aarau score in 78% of simulations against a 22% clean sheet for FC Zurich; FC Zurich score in 83% while FC Aarau shut them out 17% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for FC Aarau vs FC Zurich: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%) and 2-1 (7.5%).
With the top scoreline at 10%, correct score stays a long-odds market for FC Aarau vs FC Zurich; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time FC Zurich, full-time FC Zurich leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for FC Aarau vs FC Zurich
The grid built from 1.50 and 1.79 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
FC Aarau to win33%2.94
Draw23%3.80
FC Zurich to win45%2.10
FC Aarau, draw no bet42%fair 2.39
FC Zurich, draw no bet58%fair 1.72
Double chance
FC Aarau or draw55%1.66
FC Zurich or draw68%1.35
FC Aarau or FC Zurich (no draw)78%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.46
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.40
Over 4.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.25
Under 2.5 goals37%2.38
Under 3.5 goals58%fair 1.72
BTTS
Both teams to score66%1.44
Not both teams to score34%2.60
Halves
First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.29
Second-half goal84%fair 1.20
Team goals
FC Aarau to score78%fair 1.29
FC Zurich to score83%fair 1.20
FC Aarau clean sheet17%fair 5.99
FC Zurich clean sheet22%fair 4.48
FC Aarau to win to nil15%fair 6.49
FC Zurich to win to nil21%fair 4.88
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110%
1-29%
2-17.5%
2-26.7%
0-16.7%
0-26%
Half-time / full-time
FC Zurich / FC Zurich27.5%
FC Aarau / FC Aarau19.2%
Draw / FC Zurich14%
Draw / Draw12%
Draw / FC Aarau10.8%
Questions about FC Aarau vs FC Zurich
FC Aarau or FC Zurich: which side does the model back?
The model gives FC Zurich the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
FC Aarau vs FC Zurich correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 63% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in FC Aarau vs FC Zurich?
The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. FC Aarau find the net in 78% of simulated matches and FC Zurich in 83%.
When is FC Aarau vs FC Zurich and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.