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Live 25 UTC
Challenge League Round 11 Friday, 23 October 2026 FT
Stade Lausanne-OuchyHomeDWWDW
0:0Half-time 0:0
Neuchatel Xamax FCAwayLWWDL
632017
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy winDrawNeuchatel Xamax FC win
Kick-off
Fri 23 Oct
Expected goals
3.28
2.22 : 1.06
Favourite
63%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Over 2.5 goals
63%
model chance
Both teams to score
58%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.534.154.741.472.351.552.27Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC are 1.53 for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy at 1xBet, 4.15 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.74 for Neuchatel Xamax FC at 1xBet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 90.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.47 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.35 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.55 (1xBet) and no 2.27 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

63%

Our prediction

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win
BankerExpected goals 2.22 : 1.06-3.3% against the best price
Double chanceStade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw
83% chance1.12
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.47
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.55
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, full-time Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
42% chance2.39fair

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC prediction

Our Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC prediction and pick

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are the clear favourite in the Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC prediction, rated 63% to win this Challenge League match on Friday, 23 October 2026. Neuchatel Xamax FC sit at 17% and the draw at 20%.

Expected goals are 2.22 for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and 1.06 for Neuchatel Xamax FC, a total of 3.28, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 58%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win is the main selection, rated 63%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.53. That price implies 65%, 2 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.12.

The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches Stade Lausanne-Ouchy stand at 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Neuchatel Xamax FC show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 37% and under 3.5 59%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 84% and over 2.5 at 63%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 63%; 1xBet pay 1.47.

The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from Stade Lausanne-Ouchy scoring in 89% of runs and Neuchatel Xamax FC in 65%; clean sheets come at 35% for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and 11% for Neuchatel Xamax FC.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC: 2-1 (9.8%), 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-1 (8.9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, full-time Stade Lausanne-Ouchy is the top combination at 42%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.

All markets, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC

The grid built from 2.22 and 1.06 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win63%1.53
Draw20%4.15
Neuchatel Xamax FC to win17%4.74
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, draw no bet79%fair 1.26
Neuchatel Xamax FC, draw no bet21%fair 4.78

Double chance

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw83%1.12
Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw37%2.21
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or Neuchatel Xamax FC (no draw)80%1.16

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.47
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.41
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.27
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.21
Under 2.5 goals37%2.35
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.71

BTTS

Both teams to score58%1.55
Not both teams to score42%2.27

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.30
Second-half goal84%fair 1.20

Team goals

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to score89%fair 1.12
Neuchatel Xamax FC to score65%fair 1.53
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Neuchatel Xamax FC clean sheet11%fair 9.17
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win to nil32%fair 3.13
Neuchatel Xamax FC to win to nil10%fair 10.00

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.8%
2-09.3%
1-18.9%
1-08.4%
3-17.3%
3-06.9%

Half-time / full-time

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy / Stade Lausanne-Ouchy41.9%
Draw / Stade Lausanne-Ouchy18.2%
Draw / Draw10.7%
Neuchatel Xamax FC / Neuchatel Xamax FC9.4%
Draw / Neuchatel Xamax FC6.2%

Questions about Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or Neuchatel Xamax FC: which side does the model back?

The model gives Stade Lausanne-Ouchy the best chance at 63%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 63%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?

The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Stade Lausanne-Ouchy find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Neuchatel Xamax FC in 65%.

When do Stade Lausanne-Ouchy play Neuchatel Xamax FC?

Kick-off is 17:30 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy v Neuchatel Xamax FCStade Lausanne-Ouchy to win, 63%
1.53Bet