Brežice vs Aluminij prediction

Brežice vs Aluminij prediction, who wins and at what price

Brežice vs Aluminij prediction for the Slovenia Cup on Friday, 23 October 2026: the model makes Aluminij the clear favourite at 77%, with the draw at 15% and Brežice at 9%.

Expected goals are 0.72 for Brežice and 2.53 for Aluminij, a total of 3.25, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 47%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is aluminij to win at 77%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.21. That price implies 83%, 6 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Brežice vs Aluminij.

For a safer line, aluminij or draw covers 91% of outcomes at -.

The draw sits at only 15%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Goals forecast for Brežice vs Aluminij with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Brežice vs Aluminij reads 84% for over 1.5, 62% for over 2.5 and 41% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 38%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%; 1xBet pay 1.49.

Both teams to score is 47%: Brežice find the net in 51% of simulated matches and Aluminij in 92%. Brežice keep a clean sheet 8% of the time and Aluminij 49%.

Correct score: 0-2 leads at 12.4%, then 0-3 at 10.5% and 0-1 at 9.8%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Aluminij, full-time Aluminij is the top combination at 53%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.