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Live 35 UTC
Slovenia Cup Round of 32 Friday, 23 October 2026 FT
BistricaHomeW
4:3Half-time 2:1
BiljeAwayL
482527
Bistrica winDrawBilje win
Kick-off
Fri 23 Oct
Expected goals
2.97
1.72 : 1.25
Favourite
48%
Bistrica
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
60%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Bistrica vs Bilje odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.943.483.261.652.061.562.22Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Bistrica to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Bistrica vs Bilje are 1.94 for Bistrica at 1xBet, 3.48 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.26 for Bilje at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.65 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.06 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.56 (1xBet) and no 2.22 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

75%

Our prediction

Bistrica or Bilje (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.72 : 1.25-8.1% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.65
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.56
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bistrica, full-time Bistrica
30% chance3.34fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.36fair

Bistrica vs Bilje prediction

Bistrica vs Bilje prediction, who wins and at what price

Bistrica are a narrow favourite in the Bistrica vs Bilje prediction, rated 48% to win this Slovenia Cup match on Friday, 23 October 2026. Bilje sit at 27% and the draw at 25%.

Bistrica are expected to score 1.72 and Bilje 1.25, so the total line is 2.97 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 60%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Bistrica vs Bilje is bistrica or Bilje (no draw), a 75% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.22 at 1xBet, which implies 82%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Bistrica vs Bilje goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 35%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.65 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from Bistrica scoring in 82% of runs and Bilje in 71%; clean sheets come at 29% for Bistrica and 18% for Bilje.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Bistrica vs Bilje: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.8%).

With the top scoreline at 11%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Bistrica vs Bilje; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Bistrica, full-time Bistrica is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.

Every market rated for Bistrica vs Bilje

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Bistrica vs Bilje, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Bistrica to win48%1.94
Draw25%3.48
Bilje to win27%3.26
Bistrica, draw no bet64%fair 1.57
Bilje, draw no bet36%fair 2.75

Double chance

Bistrica or draw73%1.25
Bilje or draw52%1.68
Bistrica or Bilje (no draw)75%1.22

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals57%1.65
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.89
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.56
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.90
Under 2.5 goals43%2.06
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.53

BTTS

Both teams to score60%1.56
Not both teams to score40%2.22

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.59
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

Bistrica to score82%fair 1.22
Bilje to score71%fair 1.40
Bistrica clean sheet29%fair 3.48
Bilje clean sheet18%fair 5.59
Bistrica to win to nil26%fair 3.79
Bilje to win to nil17%fair 6.06

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111%
2-19.5%
1-08.8%
2-07.6%
1-26.9%
0-16.4%

Half-time / full-time

Bistrica / Bistrica29.9%
Bilje / Bilje16%
Draw / Bistrica15.6%
Draw / Draw13.4%
Draw / Bilje9.9%

Questions about Bistrica vs Bilje

Bistrica or Bilje: which side does the model back?

The model gives Bistrica the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Bistrica vs Bilje?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Bistrica vs Bilje?

The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Bistrica find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Bilje in 71%.

When do Bistrica play Bilje?

Bistrica vs Bilje starts at 13:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Bistrica v BiljeBistrica or Bilje (no draw), 75%
1.22Bet