Serbia Cup
MacvaHomeDDLWL
2:0Half-time 1:0
NapredakAwayWDWDL622414
Macva winDrawNapredak win
MacvaHomeDDLWLNapredakAwayWDWDL- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.37 1.69 : 0.68
- Favourite
- 62% Macva
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 42% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Macva vs Napredak odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.47 | 3.55 | 6.78 | 2.13 | 1.61 | 2.20 | 1.57 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.70 | 3.87 | 4.47 | 2.31 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.54 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.63 | 3.45 | 5.00 | 2.24 | 1.59 | 2.12 | 1.59 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.70 | 3.87 | 4.47 | 2.31 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.54 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.70 | 3.87 | 4.47 | 2.31 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.54 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Macva to win partner prices
Melbet pay the best Macva price at 1.70, Melbet lead the draw at 3.87 and 1xBet have Napredak longest at 6.78.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 100.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.31 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.61 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.38 (Melbet) and no 1.59 (BC.Game).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
62%
Our prediction
Macva to win
Double chanceMacva or draw
86% chance1.18
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.61
BTTSNot both teams to score
58% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
16% chance6.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Macva, full-time Macva
39% chance2.58fair
Macva vs Napredak prediction
Macva vs Napredak prediction and best bet
The Macva vs Napredak prediction leans to Macva: 62% against 14% for Napredak, with 24% left for the draw, in the Serbia Cup on Tuesday, 27 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.37 in total, split 1.69 to Macva and 0.68 to Napredak. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 42% and both teams to score 42%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Macva to win is the main selection, rated 62%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.70. That price implies 59%, 3 points under the model figure.
That gap is worth 5.2% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.
Macva or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 86% chance, priced 1.18.
Over the last 5 matches Macva stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Napredak show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Macva vs Napredak? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 69%, over 2.5 at 42%, over 3.5 at 22%; under 2.5 is 58% and under 3.5 is 79%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.61 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 42%. Macva score in 82% of simulations against a 19% clean sheet for Napredak; Napredak score in 49% while Macva shut them out 51% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 15.8%, followed by 2-0 (13.3%) and 1-1 (10.7%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Macva, full-time Macva leads at 39%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Macva vs Napredak
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Macva vs Napredak, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Macva to win62%1.70
Draw24%3.87
Napredak to win14%6.78
Macva, draw no bet81%fair 1.23
Napredak, draw no bet19%fair 5.29
Double chance
Macva or draw86%1.18
Napredak or draw38%2.33
Macva or Napredak (no draw)76%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals42%2.31
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.65
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.87
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.17
Under 2.5 goals58%1.61
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.27
BTTS
Both teams to score42%2.38
Not both teams to score58%1.59
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.46
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37
Team goals
Macva to score82%fair 1.23
Napredak to score49%fair 2.03
Macva clean sheet51%fair 1.97
Napredak clean sheet19%fair 5.41
Macva to win to nil47%fair 2.15
Napredak to win to nil13%fair 7.58
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-015.8%
2-013.3%
1-110.7%
0-09.3%
2-19.1%
3-07.5%
Half-time / full-time
Macva / Macva38.8%
Draw / Macva20.6%
Draw / Draw16.1%
Napredak / Napredak7.7%
Draw / Napredak6.2%
Questions about Macva vs Napredak
Macva or Napredak: which side does the model back?
The model gives Macva the best chance at 62%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Macva vs Napredak?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 42% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Macva vs Napredak?
The BTTS yes line is rated 42%. Macva find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Napredak in 49%.
When do Macva play Napredak?
Kick-off is 16:30 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.