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Live 16 UTC
Super Liga Round 12 Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
MacvaHomeDDLWL
1:1Half-time 1:1
OFK BeogradAwayDDLWL
252847
Macva winDrawOFK Beograd win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
2.52
1.02 : 1.50
Favourite
47%
OFK Beograd
Over 2.5 goals
45%
model chance
Both teams to score
52%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Macva vs OFK Beograd odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.663.482.031.921.881.721.98Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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OFK Beograd to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Macva vs OFK Beograd prediction: Macva 3.66 (1xBet), draw 3.48 (1xBet), OFK Beograd 2.03 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.92 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.88 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.72 (1xBet) and no 1.98 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

75%

Our prediction

OFK Beograd or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.02 : 1.50-3.6% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.88
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.72
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time OFK Beograd, full-time OFK Beograd
29% chance3.42fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair

Macva vs OFK Beograd prediction

Macva vs OFK Beograd prediction, who wins and at what price

OFK Beograd are marginally ahead in the Macva vs OFK Beograd prediction, rated 47% to win this Super Liga match on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Macva sit at 25% and the draw at 28%.

The goal expectancy is 2.52 in total, split 1.02 to Macva and 1.50 to OFK Beograd. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 52%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is oFK Beograd or draw at 75%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 3 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Macva average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, OFK Beograd 0.4 and 0.8 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Macva vs OFK Beograd

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 72%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 25%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 75%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.88 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 52%. Macva score in 64% of simulations against a 36% clean sheet for OFK Beograd; OFK Beograd score in 78% while Macva shut them out 22% of the time.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.3%, then 0-1 at 12.1% and 1-2 at 9.2%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time OFK Beograd, full-time OFK Beograd leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Macva vs OFK Beograd

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Macva vs OFK Beograd, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Macva to win25%3.66
Draw28%3.48
OFK Beograd to win47%2.03
Macva, draw no bet34%fair 2.92
OFK Beograd, draw no bet66%fair 1.52

Double chance

Macva or draw53%1.78
OFK Beograd or draw75%1.28
Macva or OFK Beograd (no draw)72%1.31

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals45%1.92
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.05
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.93
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.53
Under 2.5 goals55%1.88
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.33

BTTS

Both teams to score52%1.72
Not both teams to score48%1.98

Halves

First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.19
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33

Team goals

Macva to score64%fair 1.56
OFK Beograd to score78%fair 1.29
Macva clean sheet22%fair 4.48
OFK Beograd clean sheet36%fair 2.77
Macva to win to nil21%fair 4.88
OFK Beograd to win to nil33%fair 3.01

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
0-112.1%
1-29.2%
0-29.1%
1-08.2%
0-08%

Half-time / full-time

OFK Beograd / OFK Beograd29.2%
Draw / OFK Beograd16.7%
Draw / Draw16.3%
Macva / Macva14.4%
Draw / Macva9.9%

Questions about Macva vs OFK Beograd

Macva or OFK Beograd: which side does the model back?

The model gives OFK Beograd the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Macva vs OFK Beograd?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Macva vs OFK Beograd both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Macva find the net in 64% of simulated matches and OFK Beograd in 78%.

When is Macva vs OFK Beograd and where is the result shown?

Macva vs OFK Beograd starts at 17:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Macva v OFK BeogradOFK Beograd or draw, 75%
1.28Bet