Serbia Cup
GrafičarHomeLDLLW
2:0Half-time 1:0
IMT Novi BeogradAwayWWLLD121771
Grafičar winDrawIMT Novi Beograd win
GrafičarHomeLDLLWIMT Novi BeogradAwayWWLLD- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.19 0.83 : 2.36
- Favourite
- 72% IMT Novi Beograd
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Grafičar vs IMT Novi Beograd
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 8.35 | 4.80 | 1.28 | 1.50 | 2.28 | 1.81 | 1.86 | Bet |
 22Bet | 6.66 | 3.84 | 1.52 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 6.00 | 4.10 | 1.45 | 1.66 | 2.12 | 1.79 | 1.85 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 6.66 | 3.84 | 1.52 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
 Melbet | 6.66 | 3.84 | 1.52 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.93 | 1.82 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
IMT Novi Beograd to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Grafičar vs IMT Novi Beograd prediction: Grafičar 8.35 (1xBet), draw 4.80 (1xBet), IMT Novi Beograd 1.52 (22Bet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 101.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.28 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.93 (Melbet) and no 1.87 (Betwinner).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
72%
Our prediction
IMT Novi Beograd to win
Double chanceIMT Novi Beograd or draw
88% chance1.09
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
62% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.93
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.21fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-2
12% chance8.70fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time IMT Novi Beograd, full-time IMT Novi Beograd
48% chance2.07fair
Grafičar vs IMT Novi Beograd prediction
Grafičar vs IMT Novi Beograd prediction and best bet
Grafičar vs IMT Novi Beograd prediction for the Serbia Cup on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model makes IMT Novi Beograd the clear favourite at 72%, with the draw at 17% and Grafičar at 12%.
Expected goals are 0.83 for Grafičar and 2.36 for IMT Novi Beograd, a total of 3.19, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 50%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
IMT Novi Beograd to win is the main selection, rated 72%. The best price in our comparison is 1.52 at 22Bet, which implies 66%, so the model sits 5 points above the market.
That gap is worth 8.3% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.
For a safer line, iMT Novi Beograd or draw covers 88% of outcomes at 1.09.
With the draw down at 17%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: Grafičar have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 10 conceded, IMT Novi Beograd 2 of 5 scoring 3 and conceding 4.
Goals forecast for Grafičar vs IMT Novi Beograd with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 62%, over 3.5 at 40%; under 2.5 is 38% and under 3.5 is 61%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 62%, best priced 1.81 at 22Bet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 50%, built from Grafičar scoring in 56% of runs and IMT Novi Beograd in 91%; clean sheets come at 9% for Grafičar and 44% for IMT Novi Beograd.
Correct score: 0-2 leads at 11.5%, then 0-1 at 9.7% and 1-2 at 9.5%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time IMT Novi Beograd, full-time IMT Novi Beograd leads at 48%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Grafičar vs IMT Novi Beograd
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 12% / 17% / 72% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Grafičar to win12%8.35
Draw17%4.80
IMT Novi Beograd to win72%1.52
Grafičar, draw no bet14%fair 6.94
IMT Novi Beograd, draw no bet86%fair 1.17
Double chance
Grafičar or draw29%3.05
IMT Novi Beograd or draw88%1.09
Grafičar or IMT Novi Beograd (no draw)84%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 2.5 goals62%1.81
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.53
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.61
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.78
Under 2.5 goals38%2.28
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.65
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.93
Not both teams to score50%1.87
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.38
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21
Team goals
Grafičar to score56%fair 1.77
IMT Novi Beograd to score91%fair 1.10
Grafičar clean sheet9%fair 10.64
IMT Novi Beograd clean sheet44%fair 2.29
Grafičar to win to nil9%fair 11.49
IMT Novi Beograd to win to nil40%fair 2.49
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
0-211.5%
0-19.7%
1-29.5%
0-39%
1-18.1%
1-37.5%
Half-time / full-time
IMT Novi Beograd / IMT Novi Beograd48.4%
Draw / IMT Novi Beograd19.8%
Draw / Draw10%
Grafičar / Grafičar6.1%
Draw / Grafičar4.5%
Questions about Grafičar vs IMT Novi Beograd
Grafičar or IMT Novi Beograd: which side does the model back?
The model gives IMT Novi Beograd the best chance at 72%, with the draw at 17%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Grafičar vs IMT Novi Beograd?
0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 11.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 62% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Grafičar vs IMT Novi Beograd?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Grafičar find the net in 56% of simulated matches and IMT Novi Beograd in 91%.
What time does Grafičar vs IMT Novi Beograd kick off?
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.