Liga II
Chindia TargovisteHomeWWWLW
3:2Half-time 2:0
CSM Satu MareAwayLDDLW662014
Chindia Targoviste winDrawCSM Satu Mare win
Chindia TargovisteHomeWWWLWCSM Satu MareAwayLDDLW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.83 2.03 : 0.80
- Favourite
- 66% Chindia Targoviste
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.41 | 4.10 | 6.42 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.86 | 1.81 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.37 | 4.74 | 7.90 | 1.63 | 2.20 | 1.93 | 1.82 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.36 | 4.50 | 7.20 | 1.65 | 2.12 | 1.86 | 1.78 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.37 | 4.74 | 7.90 | 1.63 | 2.20 | 1.93 | 1.82 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.37 | 4.74 | 7.90 | 1.63 | 2.20 | 1.93 | 1.82 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Chindia Targoviste to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare are 1.41 for Chindia Targoviste at 1xBet, 4.74 for the draw at Betwinner and 7.90 for CSM Satu Mare at Betwinner.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.73 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.20 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.93 (Melbet) and no 1.82 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
66%
Our prediction
Chindia Targoviste to win
Double chanceChindia Targoviste or draw
87% chance1.06
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.73
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.29fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
12% chance8.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Chindia Targoviste, full-time Chindia Targoviste
43% chance2.31fair
Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare prediction
Our Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare prediction and pick
The Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare prediction leans to Chindia Targoviste: 66% against 13% for CSM Satu Mare, with 20% left for the draw, in the Liga II on Sunday, 25 October 2026.
Chindia Targoviste are expected to score 2.03 and CSM Satu Mare 0.80, so the total line is 2.83 goals; over 2.5 lands at 53% and BTTS at 49%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare is chindia Targoviste to win, a 66% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.41 at 1xBet, which implies 71%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare.
For a safer line, chindia Targoviste or draw covers 87% of outcomes at 1.06.
The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Chindia Targoviste average 3.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, CSM Satu Mare 1.2 and 1.4 across 5.
How many goals in Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.73.
The chance of both teams scoring is 49%, built from Chindia Targoviste scoring in 87% of runs and CSM Satu Mare in 55%; clean sheets come at 45% for Chindia Targoviste and 13% for CSM Satu Mare.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare: 2-0 (12.2%), 1-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.7%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Chindia Targoviste, full-time Chindia Targoviste is the top combination at 43%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.
Every market rated for Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 66% / 20% / 13% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Chindia Targoviste to win66%1.41
Draw20%4.74
CSM Satu Mare to win13%7.90
Chindia Targoviste, draw no bet83%fair 1.20
CSM Satu Mare, draw no bet17%fair 5.95
Double chance
Chindia Targoviste or draw87%1.06
CSM Satu Mare or draw34%2.96
Chindia Targoviste or CSM Satu Mare (no draw)80%1.17
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.73
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.17
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.37
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.42
Under 2.5 goals47%2.20
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.46
BTTS
Both teams to score49%1.93
Not both teams to score51%1.82
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.75
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
Chindia Targoviste to score87%fair 1.15
CSM Satu Mare to score55%fair 1.81
Chindia Targoviste clean sheet45%fair 2.23
CSM Satu Mare clean sheet13%fair 7.63
Chindia Targoviste to win to nil41%fair 2.42
CSM Satu Mare to win to nil12%fair 8.26
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
2-012.2%
1-012%
2-19.7%
1-19.6%
3-08.2%
3-16.6%
Half-time / full-time
Chindia Targoviste / Chindia Targoviste43.2%
Draw / Chindia Targoviste20%
Draw / Draw12.5%
CSM Satu Mare / CSM Satu Mare7.4%
Draw / CSM Satu Mare5.5%
Questions about Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare
Who is favourite in Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare?
The model gives Chindia Targoviste the best chance at 66%, with the draw at 20%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare correct score: what does the model say?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 53% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Chindia Targoviste find the net in 87% of simulated matches and CSM Satu Mare in 55%.
When is Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare and where is the result shown?
Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare starts at 09:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.