Cupa României
Sporting LieştiHomeD
0:0Half-time 0:0
FC BacauAwayLWLDL121573
Sporting Lieşti winDrawFC Bacau win
Sporting LieştiHomeDFC BacauAwayLWLDL- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 4.01 1.10 : 2.91
- Favourite
- 74% FC Bacau
- Over 2.5 goals
- 75% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 64% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Sporting Lieşti vs FC Bacau odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 8.60 | 5.10 | 1.26 | 1.27 | 3.14 | 1.53 | 2.32 | Bet |
 22Bet | 8.15 | 5.25 | 1.26 | 1.22 | 3.48 | 1.46 | 2.50 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 8.15 | 5.25 | 1.26 | 1.22 | 3.48 | 1.46 | 2.50 | Bet |
 Melbet | 8.15 | 5.25 | 1.26 | 1.22 | 3.48 | 1.46 | 2.50 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
FC Bacau to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Sporting Lieşti vs FC Bacau are 8.60 for Sporting Lieşti at 1xBet, 5.25 for the draw at Melbet and 1.26 for FC Bacau at Melbet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.9%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.27 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.48 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.53 (1xBet) and no 2.50 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
FC Bacau to win
Double chanceFC Bacau or draw
89% chance1.02
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
75% chance1.27
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.53
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
91% chance1.10fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
8% chance11.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Bacau, full-time FC Bacau
52% chance1.92fair
Sporting Lieşti vs FC Bacau prediction
Sporting Lieşti vs FC Bacau prediction, who wins and at what price
Sporting Lieşti vs FC Bacau prediction for the Cupa României on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model makes FC Bacau the clear favourite at 74%, with the draw at 15% and Sporting Lieşti at 12%.
Sporting Lieşti are expected to score 1.10 and FC Bacau 2.91, so the total line is 4.01 goals; over 2.5 lands at 75% and BTTS at 64%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is fC Bacau to win at 74%. At 1.26 with Melbet the market prices it at 79%, against 74% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Sporting Lieşti vs FC Bacau.
For a safer line, fC Bacau or draw covers 89% of outcomes at 1.02.
With the draw down at 15%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Sporting Lieşti vs FC Bacau over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Sporting Lieşti vs FC Bacau reads 91% for over 1.5, 75% for over 2.5 and 57% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 25%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 75%, best priced 1.27 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 64%. Sporting Lieşti score in 67% of simulations against a 33% clean sheet for FC Bacau; FC Bacau score in 95% while Sporting Lieşti shut them out 5% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-2 at 8.4%, followed by 1-3 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.7%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 8.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time FC Bacau, full-time FC Bacau leads at 52%. A goal before the break is rated 84%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Sporting Lieşti vs FC Bacau
The grid built from 1.10 and 2.91 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Sporting Lieşti to win12%8.60
Draw15%5.25
FC Bacau to win74%1.26
Sporting Lieşti, draw no bet14%fair 7.41
FC Bacau, draw no bet87%fair 1.16
Double chance
Sporting Lieşti or draw26%3.20
FC Bacau or draw89%1.02
Sporting Lieşti or FC Bacau (no draw)85%1.10
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 2.5 goals75%1.27
Over 3.5 goals57%fair 1.76
Over 4.5 goals37%fair 2.69
Under 1.5 goals9%fair 10.87
Under 2.5 goals25%3.48
Under 3.5 goals43%fair 2.31
BTTS
Both teams to score64%1.53
Not both teams to score36%2.50
Halves
First-half goal84%fair 1.20
Over 1.5 first-half goals54%fair 1.86
Second-half goal89%fair 1.12
Team goals
Sporting Lieşti to score67%fair 1.50
FC Bacau to score95%fair 1.06
Sporting Lieşti clean sheet5%fair 18.52
FC Bacau clean sheet33%fair 3.00
Sporting Lieşti to win to nil5%fair 20.00
FC Bacau to win to nil31%fair 3.27
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-28.4%
1-38.2%
0-27.7%
0-37.4%
1-46%
1-15.8%
Half-time / full-time
FC Bacau / FC Bacau52.2%
Draw / FC Bacau17.8%
Draw / Draw7.1%
Sporting Lieşti / Sporting Lieşti6.3%
Sporting Lieşti / FC Bacau4.1%
Questions about Sporting Lieşti vs FC Bacau
Who will win Sporting Lieşti vs FC Bacau?
The model gives FC Bacau the best chance at 74%, with the draw at 15%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Sporting Lieşti vs FC Bacau?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 8.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 75% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Sporting Lieşti vs FC Bacau?
The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. Sporting Lieşti find the net in 67% of simulated matches and FC Bacau in 95%.
When is Sporting Lieşti vs FC Bacau and where is the result shown?
Sporting Lieşti vs FC Bacau starts at 13:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.