Cupa României
Progresul SpartacHomeL
0:6Half-time 0:2
Petrolul PloiestiAwayLDWWD6886
Progresul Spartac winDrawPetrolul Ploiesti win
Progresul SpartacHomeLPetrolul PloiestiAwayLDWWD- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.59 0.62 : 2.97
- Favourite
- 86% Petrolul Ploiesti
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 46% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 19.00 | 7.50 | 1.07 | 1.30 | 2.97 | 2.14 | 1.62 | Bet |
 22Bet | 29.00 | 13.00 | 1.05 | - | - | 2.50 | 1.50 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 19.10 | 9.54 | 1.10 | 1.19 | 4.33 | 2.02 | 1.74 | Bet |
 Melbet | 29.00 | 13.00 | 1.05 | 1.19 | 4.33 | 2.50 | 1.50 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Petrolul Ploiesti to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti prediction: Progresul Spartac 29.00 (Melbet), draw 13.00 (Melbet), Petrolul Ploiesti 1.10 (Betwinner).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.30 (1xBet) and under 2.5 4.33 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 2.50 (Melbet) and no 1.74 (Betwinner).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
86%
Our prediction
Petrolul Ploiesti to win
Double chancePetrolul Ploiesti or draw
94% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.30
BTTSNot both teams to score
54% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-2
12% chance8.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Petrolul Ploiesti, full-time Petrolul Ploiesti
62% chance1.62fair
Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti prediction
Our Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti prediction and pick
The Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti prediction leans to Petrolul Ploiesti: 86% against 6% for Progresul Spartac, with 8% left for the draw, in the Cupa României on Tuesday, 27 October 2026.
Progresul Spartac are expected to score 0.62 and Petrolul Ploiesti 2.97, so the total line is 3.59 goals; over 2.5 lands at 67% and BTTS at 46%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti is petrolul Ploiesti to win, a 86% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.10 at Betwinner, which implies 91%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti.
Petrolul Ploiesti or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 94% chance, priced -.
The draw sits at only 8%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 33% and under 3.5 52%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 67%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%; 1xBet pay 1.30.
BTTS yes stands at 46%. Progresul Spartac score in 46% of simulations against a 54% clean sheet for Petrolul Ploiesti; Petrolul Ploiesti score in 95% while Progresul Spartac shut them out 5% of the time.
Correct score: 0-2 leads at 12.2%, then 0-3 at 12.1% and 0-4 at 8.9%.
With the top scoreline at 12.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Petrolul Ploiesti, full-time Petrolul Ploiesti is the top combination at 62%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.
Every market for Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 6% / 8% / 86% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Progresul Spartac to win6%29.00
Draw8%13.00
Petrolul Ploiesti to win86%1.10
Progresul Spartac, draw no bet7%fair 15.38
Petrolul Ploiesti, draw no bet94%fair 1.07
Double chance
Progresul Spartac or draw14%8.98
Petrolul Ploiesti or draw94%-
Progresul Spartac or Petrolul Ploiesti (no draw)92%1.04
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals67%1.30
Over 3.5 goals48%fair 2.07
Over 4.5 goals29%fair 3.44
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.81
Under 2.5 goals33%4.33
Under 3.5 goals52%fair 1.93
BTTS
Both teams to score46%2.50
Not both teams to score54%1.74
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals48%fair 2.08
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16
Team goals
Progresul Spartac to score46%fair 2.16
Petrolul Ploiesti to score95%fair 1.05
Progresul Spartac clean sheet5%fair 19.61
Petrolul Ploiesti clean sheet54%fair 1.86
Progresul Spartac to win to nil5%fair 21.28
Petrolul Ploiesti to win to nil50%fair 2.02
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
0-212.2%
0-312.1%
0-48.9%
0-18.2%
1-27.5%
1-37.5%
Half-time / full-time
Petrolul Ploiesti / Petrolul Ploiesti61.7%
Draw / Petrolul Ploiesti19.6%
Draw / Draw6.4%
Progresul Spartac / Petrolul Ploiesti2.8%
Progresul Spartac / Progresul Spartac2.6%
Questions about Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti
Who will win Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
The model gives Petrolul Ploiesti the best chance at 86%, with the draw at 8%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti correct score: what does the model say?
0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 12.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 67% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. Progresul Spartac find the net in 46% of simulated matches and Petrolul Ploiesti in 95%.
When do Progresul Spartac play Petrolul Ploiesti?
Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti starts at 15:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.