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Live 21 UTC
I Liga Round 13 Tuesday, 3 November 2026 Kick-off
Pogoń SiedlceHomeLLLWL
Tue 3 Nov
Ruch ChorzówAwayDWWWW
232552
Pogoń Siedlce winDrawRuch Chorzów win
Kick-off
Tue 3 Nov
Expected goals
2.69
1.03 : 1.66
Favourite
52%
Ruch Chorzów
Over 2.5 goals
50%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet4.143.621.701.791.881.741.96Bet
22Bet4.143.621.701.791.881.741.96Bet
BC.Game4.003.551.771.811.921.701.96Bet
Betwinner4.143.621.701.791.881.741.96Bet
Melbet4.143.621.701.791.881.741.96Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Ruch Chorzów to win partner prices

Melbet pay the best Pogoń Siedlce price at 4.14, Melbet lead the draw at 3.62 and BC.Game have Ruch Chorzów longest at 1.77.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.92 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (Melbet) and no 1.96 (BC.Game).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

52%

Our prediction

Ruch Chorzów to win
LeanExpected goals 1.03 : 1.66-8.1% against the best price
Double chanceRuch Chorzów or draw
77% chance1.18
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
50% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ruch Chorzów, full-time Ruch Chorzów
32% chance3.11fair

Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów odds movement

Pogoń Siedlce win4.14-0.22
Draw3.62-0.15
Ruch Chorzów win1.77-0.02
Over 2.5 goals1.81-0.07
Under 2.5 goals1.92-0.03

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 2 Nov, 00:00 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów prediction

Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów prediction, who wins and at what price

The Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów prediction leans to Ruch Chorzów: 52% against 23% for Pogoń Siedlce, with 25% left for the draw, in the I Liga on Tuesday, 3 November 2026.

The goal expectancy is 2.69 in total, split 1.03 to Pogoń Siedlce and 1.66 to Ruch Chorzów. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 50% and both teams to score 53%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is ruch Chorzów to win at 52%. BC.Game offer the top price at 1.77. That price implies 56%, 5 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów.

For a safer line, ruch Chorzów or draw covers 77% of outcomes at 1.18.

Over the last 5 matches Pogoń Siedlce stand at 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Ruch Chorzów show 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 75%, over 2.5 at 50%, over 3.5 at 28%; under 2.5 is 50% and under 3.5 is 72%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 50%, best priced 1.81 at BC.Game.

BTTS yes stands at 53%. Pogoń Siedlce score in 64% of simulations against a 36% clean sheet for Ruch Chorzów; Ruch Chorzów score in 81% while Pogoń Siedlce shut them out 19% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%, followed by 0-1 (11.3%) and 1-2 (9.6%).

With the top scoreline at 11.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Ruch Chorzów, full-time Ruch Chorzów leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów

The grid built from 1.03 and 1.66 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Pogoń Siedlce to win23%4.14
Draw25%3.62
Ruch Chorzów to win52%1.77
Pogoń Siedlce, draw no bet31%fair 3.26
Ruch Chorzów, draw no bet69%fair 1.44

Double chance

Pogoń Siedlce or draw48%1.93
Ruch Chorzów or draw77%1.18
Pogoń Siedlce or Ruch Chorzów (no draw)75%1.23

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%1.81
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.52
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.35
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.00
Under 2.5 goals50%1.92
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.40

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.74
Not both teams to score47%1.96

Halves

First-half goal70%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.93
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30

Team goals

Pogoń Siedlce to score64%fair 1.56
Ruch Chorzów to score81%fair 1.23
Pogoń Siedlce clean sheet19%fair 5.26
Ruch Chorzów clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Pogoń Siedlce to win to nil18%fair 5.71
Ruch Chorzów to win to nil33%fair 3.05

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
0-111.3%
1-29.6%
0-29.4%
1-07%
0-06.8%

Half-time / full-time

Ruch Chorzów / Ruch Chorzów32.2%
Draw / Ruch Chorzów17.3%
Draw / Draw14.8%
Pogoń Siedlce / Pogoń Siedlce13.1%
Draw / Pogoń Siedlce8.9%

Questions about Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów

Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów?

The model gives Ruch Chorzów the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 50% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Pogoń Siedlce find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Ruch Chorzów in 81%.

What time does Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów kick off?

Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów starts at 17:00 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Pogoń Siedlce v Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów to win, 52%
1.77Bet