Peru Primera División
Deportivo GarcilasoHomeWLLWL
Sun 8 Nov
Comerciantes UnidosAwayLDLWD562222
Deportivo Garcilaso winDrawComerciantes Unidos win
Deportivo GarcilasoHomeWLLWLComerciantes UnidosAwayLDLWD- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.98 1.89 : 1.09
- Favourite
- 56% Deportivo Garcilaso
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
56%
Our prediction
Deportivo Garcilaso to win
1.79fair
Double chanceDeportivo Garcilaso or draw
78% chance1.28fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.75fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.77fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Deportivo Garcilaso, full-time Deportivo Garcilaso
36% chance2.82fair
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos prediction
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos prediction, who wins and at what price
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos prediction for the Peru Primera División on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model makes Deportivo Garcilaso a narrow favourite at 56%, with the draw at 22% and Comerciantes Unidos at 22%.
Expected goals are 1.89 for Deportivo Garcilaso and 1.09 for Comerciantes Unidos, a total of 2.98, which puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 56%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is deportivo Garcilaso to win at 56%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
For a safer line, deportivo Garcilaso or draw covers 78% of outcomes.
Form check: Deportivo Garcilaso have won 2 of their last 5 with 12 scored and 9 conceded, Comerciantes Unidos 1 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 9.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos
On the goal lines Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos reads 80% for over 1.5, 57% for over 2.5 and 35% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 43%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%.
Both teams to score is 56%: Deportivo Garcilaso find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Comerciantes Unidos in 66%. Deportivo Garcilaso keep a clean sheet 34% of the time and Comerciantes Unidos 15%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos: 1-1 (10.5%), 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.6%).
With the top scoreline at 10.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Deportivo Garcilaso, full-time Deportivo Garcilaso is the top combination at 36%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
All markets, Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Deportivo Garcilaso to win56%fair 1.79
Draw22%fair 4.46
Comerciantes Unidos to win22%fair 4.61
Deportivo Garcilaso, draw no bet72%fair 1.39
Comerciantes Unidos, draw no bet28%fair 3.57
Double chance
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw78%fair 1.28
Comerciantes Unidos or draw44%fair 2.27
Deportivo Garcilaso or Comerciantes Unidos (no draw)78%fair 1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%fair 1.75
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.87
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.52
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.95
Under 2.5 goals43%fair 2.34
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.53
BTTS
Both teams to score56%fair 1.77
Not both teams to score44%fair 2.29
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.58
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Deportivo Garcilaso to score85%fair 1.18
Comerciantes Unidos to score66%fair 1.51
Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet34%fair 2.98
Comerciantes Unidos clean sheet15%fair 6.62
Deportivo Garcilaso to win to nil31%fair 3.24
Comerciantes Unidos to win to nil14%fair 7.19
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.5%
2-19.9%
1-09.6%
2-09.1%
3-16.2%
3-05.7%
Half-time / full-time
Deportivo Garcilaso / Deportivo Garcilaso35.5%
Draw / Deportivo Garcilaso17.4%
Draw / Draw12.8%
Comerciantes Unidos / Comerciantes Unidos12.1%
Draw / Comerciantes Unidos8%
Questions about Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso or Comerciantes Unidos: which side does the model back?
The model gives Deportivo Garcilaso the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Deportivo Garcilaso find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Comerciantes Unidos in 66%.
When is Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 23:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.