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Division Profesional - Clausura Clausura - 18 Tuesday, 3 November 2026 Kick-off
Nacional AsuncionHomeDWWLW
Tue 3 Nov
Club Sp. San LorenzoAwayDDLLW
75178
Nacional Asuncion winDrawClub Sp. San Lorenzo win
Kick-off
Tue 3 Nov
Expected goals
2.89
2.27 : 0.62
Favourite
75%
Nacional Asuncion
Over 2.5 goals
54%
model chance
Both teams to score
43%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Nacional Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.295.339.551.702.082.071.66Bet
22Bet1.295.339.551.702.082.071.66Bet
BC.Game1.274.909.401.682.082.041.64Bet
Betwinner1.295.339.551.702.082.071.66Bet
Melbet1.295.339.551.702.082.071.66Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Nacional Asuncion to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Nacional Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo are 1.29 for Nacional Asuncion at 1xBet, 5.33 for the draw at 1xBet and 9.55 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.70 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.08 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.07 (1xBet) and no 1.66 (Melbet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

75%

Our prediction

Nacional Asuncion to win
BankerExpected goals 2.27 : 0.62-2.7% against the best price
Double chanceNacional Asuncion or draw
92% chance1.04
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.70
BTTSNot both teams to score
57% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
14% chance6.99fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Nacional Asuncion, full-time Nacional Asuncion
51% chance1.96fair

Nacional Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo odds movement

Nacional Asuncion win1.29-0.01
Draw5.33-0.05
Club Sp. San Lorenzo win9.55-0.99
Over 2.5 goals1.70unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.08-0.07

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 2 Nov, 00:00 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Nacional Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo prediction

Nacional Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo prediction and best bet

Nacional Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo prediction for the Division Profesional - Clausura on Tuesday, 3 November 2026: the model makes Nacional Asuncion the clear favourite at 75%, with the draw at 17% and Club Sp. San Lorenzo at 8%.

Nacional Asuncion are expected to score 2.27 and Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.62, so the total line is 2.89 goals; over 2.5 lands at 54% and BTTS at 43%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Nacional Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo is nacional Asuncion to win, a 75% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.29. That price implies 78%, 2 points over the model figure.

For a safer line, nacional Asuncion or draw covers 92% of outcomes at 1.04.

With the draw down at 17%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Nacional Asuncion stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Club Sp. San Lorenzo show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Nacional Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 54%, over 3.5 at 33%; under 2.5 is 46% and under 3.5 is 67%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.70 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 43%, built from Nacional Asuncion scoring in 90% of runs and Club Sp. San Lorenzo in 46%; clean sheets come at 54% for Nacional Asuncion and 10% for Club Sp. San Lorenzo.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 14.3%, then 1-0 at 12.6% and 3-0 at 10.8%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 14.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Nacional Asuncion, full-time Nacional Asuncion leads at 51%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Nacional Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo

The grid built from 2.27 and 0.62 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Nacional Asuncion to win75%1.29
Draw17%5.33
Club Sp. San Lorenzo to win8%9.55
Nacional Asuncion, draw no bet90%fair 1.11
Club Sp. San Lorenzo, draw no bet10%fair 10.31

Double chance

Nacional Asuncion or draw92%1.04
Club Sp. San Lorenzo or draw25%3.42
Nacional Asuncion or Club Sp. San Lorenzo (no draw)84%1.14

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.70
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.05
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 6.02
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.63
Under 2.5 goals46%2.08
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.49

BTTS

Both teams to score43%2.07
Not both teams to score57%1.66

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.68
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26

Team goals

Nacional Asuncion to score90%fair 1.11
Club Sp. San Lorenzo to score46%fair 2.16
Nacional Asuncion clean sheet54%fair 1.86
Club Sp. San Lorenzo clean sheet10%fair 9.71
Nacional Asuncion to win to nil50%fair 2.02
Club Sp. San Lorenzo to win to nil8%fair 13.33

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

2-014.3%
1-012.6%
3-010.8%
2-18.9%
1-17.8%
3-16.7%

Half-time / full-time

Nacional Asuncion / Nacional Asuncion50.9%
Draw / Nacional Asuncion21.3%
Draw / Draw10.7%
Club Sp. San Lorenzo / Club Sp. San Lorenzo4.4%
Draw / Club Sp. San Lorenzo3.6%

Questions about Nacional Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Who is favourite in Nacional Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

The model gives Nacional Asuncion the best chance at 75%, with the draw at 17%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Nacional Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 54% backs the same picture with less variance.

Nacional Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 43%. Nacional Asuncion find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Club Sp. San Lorenzo in 46%.

When do Nacional Asuncion play Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

Kick-off is 22:30 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Nacional Asuncion v Club Sp. San LorenzoNacional Asuncion to win, 75%
1.29Bet