Nacional AsuncionHomeDWWLW
Club Sp. San LorenzoAwayDDLLW
Nacional AsuncionHomeDWWLW
Club Sp. San LorenzoAwayDDLLW| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | 5.33 | 9.55 | 1.70 | 2.08 | 2.07 | 1.66 | Bet | |
| 1.29 | 5.33 | 9.55 | 1.70 | 2.08 | 2.07 | 1.66 | Bet | |
| 1.27 | 4.90 | 9.40 | 1.68 | 2.08 | 2.04 | 1.64 | Bet | |
| 1.29 | 5.33 | 9.55 | 1.70 | 2.08 | 2.07 | 1.66 | Bet | |
| 1.29 | 5.33 | 9.55 | 1.70 | 2.08 | 2.07 | 1.66 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
The top 1X2 prices for Nacional Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo are 1.29 for Nacional Asuncion at 1xBet, 5.33 for the draw at 1xBet and 9.55 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.70 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.08 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.07 (1xBet) and no 1.66 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 2 Nov, 00:00 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Nacional Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo prediction for the Division Profesional - Clausura on Tuesday, 3 November 2026: the model makes Nacional Asuncion the clear favourite at 75%, with the draw at 17% and Club Sp. San Lorenzo at 8%.
Nacional Asuncion are expected to score 2.27 and Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.62, so the total line is 2.89 goals; over 2.5 lands at 54% and BTTS at 43%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Nacional Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo is nacional Asuncion to win, a 75% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.29. That price implies 78%, 2 points over the model figure.
For a safer line, nacional Asuncion or draw covers 92% of outcomes at 1.04.
With the draw down at 17%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Over the last 5 matches Nacional Asuncion stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Club Sp. San Lorenzo show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 54%, over 3.5 at 33%; under 2.5 is 46% and under 3.5 is 67%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.70 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 43%, built from Nacional Asuncion scoring in 90% of runs and Club Sp. San Lorenzo in 46%; clean sheets come at 54% for Nacional Asuncion and 10% for Club Sp. San Lorenzo.
Correct score: 2-0 leads at 14.3%, then 1-0 at 12.6% and 3-0 at 10.8%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 14.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Nacional Asuncion, full-time Nacional Asuncion leads at 51%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
The grid built from 2.27 and 0.62 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Nacional Asuncion the best chance at 75%, with the draw at 17%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 54% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 43%. Nacional Asuncion find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Club Sp. San Lorenzo in 46%.
Kick-off is 22:30 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.