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Division Profesional - Clausura Clausura - 18 Thursday, 5 November 2026 Kick-off
OlimpiaHomeDDWWW
Thu 5 Nov
Deportivo RecoletaAwayLLWDW
741610
Olimpia winDrawDeportivo Recoleta win
Kick-off
Thu 5 Nov
Expected goals
3.21
2.42 : 0.79
Favourite
74%
Olimpia
Over 2.5 goals
61%
model chance
Both teams to score
52%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet1.295.618.751.502.451.771.92Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Olimpia to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta prediction: Olimpia 1.29 (22Bet), draw 5.61 (22Bet), Deportivo Recoleta 8.75 (22Bet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 93.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.50 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.45 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.77 (22Bet) and no 1.92 (22Bet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

74%

Our prediction

Olimpia to win
BankerExpected goals 2.42 : 0.79-5.1% against the best price
Double chanceOlimpia or draw
90% chance1.05
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.50
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.77
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
12% chance8.47fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Olimpia, full-time Olimpia
50% chance1.99fair

Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta prediction

Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta prediction, who wins and at what price

Olimpia are the clear favourite in the Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta prediction, rated 74% to win this Division Profesional - Clausura match on Thursday, 5 November 2026. Deportivo Recoleta sit at 10% and the draw at 16%.

The goal expectancy is 3.21 in total, split 2.42 to Olimpia and 0.79 to Deportivo Recoleta. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 61% and both teams to score 52%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Olimpia to win is the main selection, rated 74%. At 1.29 with 22Bet the market prices it at 78%, against 74% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Olimpia or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 90% chance, priced 1.05.

The draw sits at only 16%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches Olimpia stand at 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Deportivo Recoleta show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 39% and under 3.5 60%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 83% and over 2.5 at 61%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; 22Bet pay 1.50.

BTTS yes stands at 52%. Olimpia score in 91% of simulations against a 9% clean sheet for Deportivo Recoleta; Deportivo Recoleta score in 55% while Olimpia shut them out 45% of the time.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 11.8%, then 1-0 at 9.8% and 3-0 at 9.5%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Olimpia, full-time Olimpia leads at 50%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta

The grid built from 2.42 and 0.79 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Olimpia to win74%1.29
Draw16%5.61
Deportivo Recoleta to win10%8.75
Olimpia, draw no bet88%fair 1.14
Deportivo Recoleta, draw no bet12%fair 8.33

Double chance

Olimpia or draw90%1.05
Deportivo Recoleta or draw26%3.42
Olimpia or Deportivo Recoleta (no draw)84%1.12

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals61%1.50
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.51
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.88
Under 2.5 goals39%2.45
Under 3.5 goals60%fair 1.66

BTTS

Both teams to score52%1.77
Not both teams to score49%1.92

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.36
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21

Team goals

Olimpia to score91%fair 1.10
Deportivo Recoleta to score55%fair 1.83
Olimpia clean sheet45%fair 2.20
Deportivo Recoleta clean sheet9%fair 11.24
Olimpia to win to nil42%fair 2.39
Deportivo Recoleta to win to nil8%fair 12.20

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-011.8%
1-09.8%
3-09.5%
2-19.3%
1-17.7%
3-17.5%

Half-time / full-time

Olimpia / Olimpia50.2%
Draw / Olimpia20%
Draw / Draw9.6%
Deportivo Recoleta / Deportivo Recoleta5.5%
Draw / Deportivo Recoleta4.1%

Questions about Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta

Who will win Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta?

The model gives Olimpia the best chance at 74%, with the draw at 16%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta correct score: what does the model say?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 61%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta?

The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Olimpia find the net in 91% of simulated matches and Deportivo Recoleta in 55%.

What time does Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta kick off?

Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta starts at 00:15 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Olimpia v Deportivo RecoletaOlimpia to win, 74%
1.29Bet