Division Profesional - Clausura
Libertad AsuncionHomeWDLWL
Wed 4 Nov
Cerro PortenoAwayLWDWL352738
Libertad Asuncion winDrawCerro Porteno win
Libertad AsuncionHomeWDLWLCerro PortenoAwayLWDWL- Kick-off Wed 4 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.64 1.29 : 1.35
- Favourite
- 38% Cerro Porteno
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.72 | 3.39 | 2.46 | 1.91 | 1.84 | 1.69 | 2.03 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Cerro Porteno to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno prediction: Libertad Asuncion 2.72 (22Bet), draw 3.39 (22Bet), Cerro Porteno 2.46 (22Bet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.91 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.84 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.69 (22Bet) and no 2.03 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
73%
Our prediction
Libertad Asuncion or Cerro Porteno (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.84
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.69
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.35fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Cerro Porteno, full-time Cerro Porteno
23% chance4.44fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.44fair
Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno prediction
Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno prediction and best bet
The Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Division Profesional - Clausura on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 gives Libertad Asuncion a 35% chance, Cerro Porteno 38% and the draw 27%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Libertad Asuncion are expected to score 1.29 and Cerro Porteno 1.35, so the total line is 2.64 goals; over 2.5 lands at 49% and BTTS at 55%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Libertad Asuncion or Cerro Porteno (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.29. That price implies 78%, 5 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno.
Libertad Asuncion average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Cerro Porteno 1.6 and 1.4 across 5.
How many goals in Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 51% and under 3.5 73%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 49%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 22Bet pay 1.84.
Both teams to score is 55%: Libertad Asuncion find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Cerro Porteno in 74%. Libertad Asuncion keep a clean sheet 26% of the time and Cerro Porteno 28%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno: 1-1 (12.4%), 0-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.2%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Cerro Porteno, full-time Cerro Porteno is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.
All markets, Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 35% / 27% / 38% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Libertad Asuncion to win35%2.72
Draw27%3.39
Cerro Porteno to win38%2.46
Libertad Asuncion, draw no bet48%fair 2.07
Cerro Porteno, draw no bet52%fair 1.94
Double chance
Libertad Asuncion or draw62%1.51
Cerro Porteno or draw65%1.42
Libertad Asuncion or Cerro Porteno (no draw)73%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.35
Over 2.5 goals49%1.91
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.81
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.85
Under 2.5 goals51%1.84
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.38
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.69
Not both teams to score45%2.03
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.44
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.00
Second-half goal77%fair 1.31
Team goals
Libertad Asuncion to score73%fair 1.38
Cerro Porteno to score74%fair 1.35
Libertad Asuncion clean sheet26%fair 3.86
Cerro Porteno clean sheet28%fair 3.64
Libertad Asuncion to win to nil24%fair 4.18
Cerro Porteno to win to nil25%fair 3.95
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.4%
0-19.6%
1-09.2%
1-28.4%
2-18%
0-07.1%
Half-time / full-time
Cerro Porteno / Cerro Porteno22.5%
Libertad Asuncion / Libertad Asuncion20.7%
Draw / Draw15.8%
Draw / Cerro Porteno13.6%
Draw / Libertad Asuncion12.8%
Questions about Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion or Cerro Porteno: which side does the model back?
The model gives Cerro Porteno the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Libertad Asuncion find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Cerro Porteno in 74%.
When do Libertad Asuncion play Cerro Porteno?
Kick-off is 22:00 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.