Division Profesional - Clausura
Nacional AsuncionHomeDWWLW
0:1Half-time 0:0
Sportivo TrinidenseAwayWDWWL403030
Nacional Asuncion winDrawSportivo Trinidense win
Nacional AsuncionHomeDWWLWSportivo TrinidenseAwayWDWWL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.38 1.29 : 1.09
- Favourite
- 40% Nacional Asuncion
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.32 | 3.24 | 3.03 | 2.14 | 1.66 | 1.83 | 1.86 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Nacional Asuncion to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Nacional Asuncion price at 2.32, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.24 and 1xBet have Sportivo Trinidense longest at 3.03.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.14 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.66 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.83 (1xBet) and no 1.86 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
71%
Our prediction
Nacional Asuncion or Sportivo Trinidense (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.66
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.86
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.69fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Nacional Asuncion, full-time Nacional Asuncion
24% chance4.17fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.52fair
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense prediction
Our Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense prediction and pick
Nacional Asuncion are marginally ahead in the Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense prediction, rated 40% to win this Division Profesional - Clausura match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Sportivo Trinidense sit at 30% and the draw at 30%.
Expected goals are 1.29 for Nacional Asuncion and 1.09 for Sportivo Trinidense, a total of 2.38, which puts over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 49%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is nacional Asuncion or Sportivo Trinidense (no draw) at 71%. At 1.31 with 1xBet the market prices it at 76%, against 71% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Nacional Asuncion average 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded across their last 5, Sportivo Trinidense 1.6 and 1.4 across 5.
A low-scoring Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 58% and under 3.5 78%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 69% and over 2.5 at 42%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.66 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 49%. Nacional Asuncion score in 73% of simulations against a 28% clean sheet for Sportivo Trinidense; Sportivo Trinidense score in 66% while Nacional Asuncion shut them out 34% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13%, then 1-0 at 11.9% and 0-1 at 10.1%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Nacional Asuncion, full-time Nacional Asuncion is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.
Every market for Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 40% / 30% / 30% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Nacional Asuncion to win40%2.32
Draw30%3.24
Sportivo Trinidense to win30%3.03
Nacional Asuncion, draw no bet57%fair 1.75
Sportivo Trinidense, draw no bet43%fair 2.33
Double chance
Nacional Asuncion or draw70%1.35
Sportivo Trinidense or draw60%1.57
Nacional Asuncion or Sportivo Trinidense (no draw)71%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals42%2.14
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.61
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.75
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.19
Under 2.5 goals58%1.66
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28
BTTS
Both teams to score49%1.83
Not both teams to score51%1.86
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.45
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37
Team goals
Nacional Asuncion to score73%fair 1.38
Sportivo Trinidense to score66%fair 1.51
Nacional Asuncion clean sheet34%fair 2.98
Sportivo Trinidense clean sheet28%fair 3.64
Nacional Asuncion to win to nil31%fair 3.24
Sportivo Trinidense to win to nil25%fair 3.95
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113%
1-011.9%
0-110.1%
0-09.3%
2-18.4%
2-07.7%
Half-time / full-time
Nacional Asuncion / Nacional Asuncion24%
Draw / Draw17.8%
Sportivo Trinidense / Sportivo Trinidense17.7%
Draw / Nacional Asuncion15%
Draw / Sportivo Trinidense12%
Questions about Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
Who will win Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?
The model gives Nacional Asuncion the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 42%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Nacional Asuncion find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Sportivo Trinidense in 66%.
When is Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 20:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.