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Live 10 UTC
Norway 1. Division Round 28 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
MossHomeWDLLL
1:3Half-time 1:1
AsaneAwayLLWWL
612019
Moss winDrawAsane win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
3.54
2.30 : 1.24
Favourite
61%
Moss
Over 2.5 goals
68%
model chance
Both teams to score
65%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Moss vs Asane

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.554.404.861.362.701.462.53Bet
22Bet1.554.245.311.422.751.502.50Bet
BC.Game1.534.305.001.392.801.462.44Bet
Betwinner1.554.245.311.422.751.502.50Bet
Melbet1.554.245.311.422.751.502.50Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Moss to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Moss vs Asane prediction: Moss 1.55 (1xBet), draw 4.40 (1xBet), Asane 5.31 (Betwinner).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.42 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.80 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.50 (22Bet) and no 2.53 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

61%

Our prediction

Moss to win
StrongExpected goals 2.30 : 1.24-5.8% against the best price
Double chanceMoss or draw
81% chance1.15
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
68% chance1.42
BTTSBoth teams to score
65% chance1.50
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.53fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Moss, full-time Moss
40% chance2.49fair

Moss vs Asane prediction

Moss vs Asane prediction, who wins and at what price

Moss vs Asane prediction for the Norway 1. Division on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Moss the clear favourite at 61%, with the draw at 20% and Asane at 19%.

Moss are expected to score 2.30 and Asane 1.24, so the total line is 3.54 goals; over 2.5 lands at 68% and BTTS at 65%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is moss to win at 61%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.55. That price implies 65%, 4 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Moss vs Asane.

Moss or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.15.

The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Moss have won 1 of their last 5 with 3 scored and 8 conceded, Asane 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 11.

Moss vs Asane over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines Moss vs Asane reads 87% for over 1.5, 68% for over 2.5 and 47% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 32%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 68%; Betwinner pay 1.42.

Both teams to score is 65%: Moss find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Asane in 71%. Moss keep a clean sheet 29% of the time and Asane 10%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.5%, followed by 1-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.7%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Moss, full-time Moss leads at 40%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Moss vs Asane

The grid built from 2.30 and 1.24 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Moss to win61%1.55
Draw20%4.40
Asane to win19%5.31
Moss, draw no bet76%fair 1.31
Asane, draw no bet24%fair 4.20

Double chance

Moss or draw81%1.15
Asane or draw39%2.36
Moss or Asane (no draw)80%1.20

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.42
Over 3.5 goals47%fair 2.12
Over 4.5 goals28%fair 3.55
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.58
Under 2.5 goals32%2.80
Under 3.5 goals53%fair 1.89

BTTS

Both teams to score65%1.50
Not both teams to score35%2.53

Halves

First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.11
Second-half goal86%fair 1.17

Team goals

Moss to score90%fair 1.11
Asane to score71%fair 1.41
Moss clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Asane clean sheet10%fair 10.00
Moss to win to nil27%fair 3.76
Asane to win to nil9%fair 10.87

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.5%
1-18.3%
2-07.7%
3-17.3%
1-06.7%
2-25.9%

Half-time / full-time

Moss / Moss40.2%
Draw / Moss17.1%
Asane / Asane11.1%
Draw / Draw10%
Draw / Asane6.8%

Questions about Moss vs Asane

Who will win Moss vs Asane?

The model gives Moss the best chance at 61%, with the draw at 20%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Moss vs Asane correct score: what does the model say?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 68% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Moss vs Asane?

The BTTS yes line is rated 65%. Moss find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Asane in 71%.

What time does Moss vs Asane kick off?

Moss vs Asane starts at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Moss v AsaneMoss to win, 61%
1.55Bet