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Live 35 UTC
Northern Ireland Premiership Round 14 Friday, 30 October 2026 FT
LarneHomeLLWDW
1:0Half-time 0:0
PortadownAwayWDWLL
751510
Larne winDrawPortadown win
Kick-off
Fri 30 Oct
Expected goals
3.13
2.41 : 0.72
Favourite
75%
Larne
Over 2.5 goals
60%
model chance
Both teams to score
47%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Larne vs Portadown odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.225.559.351.512.261.951.75Bet
22Bet1.256.319.321.502.502.111.68Bet
BC.Game1.225.809.201.532.361.971.69Bet
Betwinner1.256.319.321.502.502.111.68Bet
Melbet1.256.319.321.502.502.111.68Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Larne to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Larne vs Portadown prediction: Larne 1.25 (22Bet), draw 6.31 (22Bet), Portadown 9.35 (1xBet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 93.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.53 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.50 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.11 (22Bet) and no 1.75 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

75%

Our prediction

Larne to win
BankerExpected goals 2.41 : 0.72-6.6% against the best price
Double chanceLarne or draw
90% chance1.04
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.53
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.75
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Larne, full-time Larne
51% chance1.95fair

Larne v Portadown head to head

1Larne wins
0Draws
0Portadown wins
  • 12 Sep 26Portadown0:2Larne

1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: Larne scored 2, Portadown scored 0.

Larne vs Portadown prediction

Our Larne vs Portadown prediction and pick

Larne host Portadown on Friday, 30 October 2026 in the Northern Ireland Premiership, and the model has Larne at 75%, the draw at 15% and Portadown at 10%: that is the Larne vs Portadown prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 3.13 in total, split 2.41 to Larne and 0.72 to Portadown. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 47%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Larne to win is the main selection, rated 75%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.25. That price implies 80%, 5 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Larne or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 90% chance, priced 1.04.

With the draw down at 15%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Larne average 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Portadown 1.2 and 1.0 across 5.

Larne vs Portadown over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 40% and under 3.5 62%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 82% and over 2.5 at 60%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.53 at BC.Game.

BTTS yes stands at 47%. Larne score in 91% of simulations against a 9% clean sheet for Portadown; Portadown score in 51% while Larne shut them out 49% of the time.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 12.7%, then 1-0 at 10.5% and 3-0 at 10.2%.

With the top scoreline at 12.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Larne vs Portadown; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Larne, full-time Larne leads at 51%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Larne vs Portadown

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Larne vs Portadown, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Larne to win75%1.25
Draw15%6.31
Portadown to win10%9.35
Larne, draw no bet88%fair 1.14
Portadown, draw no bet12%fair 8.40

Double chance

Larne or draw90%1.04
Portadown or draw25%3.76
Larne or Portadown (no draw)85%1.10

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.53
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.62
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.83
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.52
Under 2.5 goals40%2.50
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.62

BTTS

Both teams to score47%2.11
Not both teams to score53%1.75

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.43
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Larne to score91%fair 1.10
Portadown to score51%fair 1.95
Larne clean sheet49%fair 2.05
Portadown clean sheet9%fair 11.11
Larne to win to nil45%fair 2.23
Portadown to win to nil8%fair 12.05

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-012.7%
1-010.5%
3-010.2%
2-19.1%
1-17.6%
3-17.3%

Half-time / full-time

Larne / Larne51.4%
Draw / Larne20.4%
Draw / Draw9.7%
Portadown / Portadown4.9%
Draw / Portadown3.7%

Questions about Larne vs Portadown

Larne or Portadown: which side does the model back?

The model gives Larne the best chance at 75%, with the draw at 15%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Larne vs Portadown?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Larne vs Portadown?

The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Larne find the net in 91% of simulated matches and Portadown in 51%.

What time does Larne vs Portadown kick off?

Larne vs Portadown starts at 19:45 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Larne v PortadownLarne to win, 75%
1.25Bet