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Live 25 UTC
Northern Ireland Premiership Round 3 Tuesday, 27 October 2026 FT
LarneHomeLLWDW
1:1Half-time 0:0
Limavady UnitedAwayWLDDL
77149
Larne winDrawLimavady United win
Kick-off
Tue 27 Oct
Expected goals
3.28
2.58 : 0.70
Favourite
77%
Larne
Over 2.5 goals
63%
model chance
Both teams to score
45%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Larne vs Limavady United odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.156.1012.001.462.382.091.65Bet
22Bet1.206.7711.301.502.502.111.68Bet
BC.Game1.205.8011.001.502.442.041.64Bet
Betwinner1.176.0011.901.472.352.071.66Bet
Melbet1.206.7711.301.502.502.111.68Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Larne to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Larne vs Limavady United are 1.20 for Larne at Melbet, 6.77 for the draw at Melbet and 12.00 for Limavady United at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.50 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.50 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 2.11 (Melbet) and no 1.68 (Melbet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

77%

Our prediction

Larne to win
BankerExpected goals 2.58 : 0.70-7.2% against the best price
Double chanceLarne or draw
92% chance1.02
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.50
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.68
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Larne, full-time Larne
55% chance1.83fair

Larne vs Limavady United prediction

Our Larne vs Limavady United prediction and pick

Larne vs Limavady United prediction for the Northern Ireland Premiership on Tuesday, 27 October 2026: the model makes Larne the clear favourite at 77%, with the draw at 14% and Limavady United at 8%.

Expected goals are 2.58 for Larne and 0.70 for Limavady United, a total of 3.28, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 45%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Larne vs Limavady United is larne to win, a 77% chance. Melbet offer the top price at 1.20. That price implies 83%, 6 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Larne vs Limavady United.

Larne or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 92% chance, priced 1.02.

With the draw down at 14%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Form check: Larne have won 2 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 7 conceded, Limavady United 1 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 9.

Larne vs Limavady United over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 37% and under 3.5 59%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 84% and over 2.5 at 63%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.50 at BC.Game.

BTTS yes stands at 45%. Larne score in 92% of simulations against a 8% clean sheet for Limavady United; Limavady United score in 50% while Larne shut them out 50% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 12.5%, followed by 3-0 (10.8%) and 1-0 (9.7%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Larne, full-time Larne is the top combination at 55%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.

Every market rated for Larne vs Limavady United

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Larne vs Limavady United, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Larne to win77%1.20
Draw14%6.77
Limavady United to win8%12.00
Larne, draw no bet90%fair 1.11
Limavady United, draw no bet10%fair 10.20

Double chance

Larne or draw92%1.02
Limavady United or draw23%4.23
Larne or Limavady United (no draw)86%1.08

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.50
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.41
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.29
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.21
Under 2.5 goals37%2.50
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.71

BTTS

Both teams to score45%2.11
Not both teams to score55%1.68

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.30
Second-half goal84%fair 1.20

Team goals

Larne to score92%fair 1.08
Limavady United to score50%fair 1.99
Larne clean sheet50%fair 2.01
Limavady United clean sheet8%fair 13.16
Larne to win to nil46%fair 2.19
Limavady United to win to nil7%fair 14.29

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-012.5%
3-010.8%
1-09.7%
2-18.8%
3-17.5%
4-06.9%

Half-time / full-time

Larne / Larne54.5%
Draw / Larne20.3%
Draw / Draw8.6%
Limavady United / Limavady United4.1%
Draw / Limavady United3.2%

Questions about Larne vs Limavady United

Larne or Limavady United: which side does the model back?

The model gives Larne the best chance at 77%, with the draw at 14%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Larne vs Limavady United correct score: what does the model say?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 63% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Larne vs Limavady United?

The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. Larne find the net in 92% of simulated matches and Limavady United in 50%.

When do Larne play Limavady United?

Larne vs Limavady United starts at 19:45 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Larne v Limavady UnitedLarne to win, 77%
1.20Bet