Bangor vs Larne prediction

Our Bangor vs Larne prediction and pick

Bangor vs Larne prediction for the Northern Ireland Premiership on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Larne the clear favourite at 70%, with the draw at 18% and Bangor at 12%.

Bangor are expected to score 0.74 and Larne 2.17, so the total line is 2.91 goals; over 2.5 lands at 55% and BTTS at 47%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Bangor vs Larne is larne to win, a 70% chance. At 1.31 with 1xBet the market prices it at 76%, against 70% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Bangor vs Larne.

Larne or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 88% chance, priced 1.02.

The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Bangor have won 1 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 7 conceded, Larne 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 7.

How many goals in Bangor vs Larne? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Bangor vs Larne reads 79% for over 1.5, 55% for over 2.5 and 33% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 45%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 1xBet pay 1.70.

Both teams to score is 47%: Bangor find the net in 52% of simulated matches and Larne in 89%. Bangor keep a clean sheet 11% of the time and Larne 48%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Bangor vs Larne: 0-2 (12.8%), 0-1 (11.8%) and 1-2 (9.5%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Larne, full-time Larne leads at 47%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.