Liga de Expansión MX
TlaxcalaHomeDWDWW
2:0Half-time 1:0
Correcaminos UatAwayDLLLD502327
Tlaxcala winDrawCorrecaminos Uat win
TlaxcalaHomeDWDWWCorrecaminos UatAwayDLLLD- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.41 1.99 : 1.42
- Favourite
- 50% Tlaxcala
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 67% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.66 | 3.29 | 1.44 | 2.42 | 1.44 | 2.56 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.99 | 3.88 | 3.23 | 1.45 | 2.63 | 1.50 | 2.50 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.99 | 3.90 | 2.94 | 1.45 | 2.60 | 1.43 | 2.52 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.96 | 3.64 | 3.11 | 1.43 | 2.46 | 1.41 | 2.66 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.99 | 3.88 | 3.23 | 1.45 | 2.63 | 1.50 | 2.50 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Tlaxcala to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat prediction: Tlaxcala 1.99 (22Bet), draw 3.90 (BC.Game), Correcaminos Uat 3.29 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.45 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.63 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.50 (Melbet) and no 2.66 (Betwinner).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
77%
Our prediction
Tlaxcala or Correcaminos Uat (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
66% chance1.45
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.50
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
9% chance10.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Tlaxcala, full-time Tlaxcala
32% chance3.12fair
First halfFirst-half goal
78% chance1.28fair
Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat prediction
Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat prediction and best bet
Tlaxcala are a narrow favourite in the Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat prediction, rated 50% to win this Liga de Expansión MX match on Sunday, 25 October 2026. Correcaminos Uat sit at 27% and the draw at 23%.
The goal expectancy is 3.41 in total, split 1.99 to Tlaxcala and 1.42 to Correcaminos Uat. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 66% and both teams to score 67%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat is tlaxcala or Correcaminos Uat (no draw), a 77% chance. At 1.23 with Melbet the market prices it at 81%, against 77% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Tlaxcala have won 3 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 5 conceded, Correcaminos Uat 0 of 5 scoring 2 and conceding 6.
Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 34% and under 3.5 56%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 85% and over 2.5 at 66%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%; BC.Game pay 1.45.
Both teams to score is 67%: Tlaxcala find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Correcaminos Uat in 76%. Tlaxcala keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and Correcaminos Uat 14%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat: 1-1 (9.3%), 2-1 (9.3%) and 1-2 (6.6%).
With the top scoreline at 9.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Tlaxcala, full-time Tlaxcala leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat
The grid built from 1.99 and 1.42 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Tlaxcala to win50%1.99
Draw23%3.90
Correcaminos Uat to win27%3.29
Tlaxcala, draw no bet65%fair 1.54
Correcaminos Uat, draw no bet35%fair 2.86
Double chance
Tlaxcala or draw73%1.32
Correcaminos Uat or draw50%1.76
Tlaxcala or Correcaminos Uat (no draw)77%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.45
Over 3.5 goals44%fair 2.25
Over 4.5 goals26%fair 3.88
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.85
Under 2.5 goals34%2.63
Under 3.5 goals56%fair 1.80
BTTS
Both teams to score67%1.50
Not both teams to score33%2.66
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.20
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
Tlaxcala to score86%fair 1.16
Correcaminos Uat to score76%fair 1.32
Tlaxcala clean sheet24%fair 4.13
Correcaminos Uat clean sheet14%fair 7.30
Tlaxcala to win to nil22%fair 4.50
Correcaminos Uat to win to nil13%fair 7.94
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.3%
2-19.3%
1-26.6%
2-26.6%
1-06.6%
2-06.5%
Half-time / full-time
Tlaxcala / Tlaxcala32.1%
Correcaminos Uat / Correcaminos Uat16%
Draw / Tlaxcala15.2%
Draw / Draw11.3%
Draw / Correcaminos Uat9.2%
Questions about Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat
Who will win Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat?
The model gives Tlaxcala the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 23%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 66%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat?
The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. Tlaxcala find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Correcaminos Uat in 76%.
When do Tlaxcala play Correcaminos Uat?
Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat starts at 18:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.