Liga de Expansión MX
CDS Tampico MaderoHomeLDWLL
1:3Half-time 1:1
CA La PazAwayLWDWW362539
CDS Tampico Madero winDrawCA La Paz win
CDS Tampico MaderoHomeLDWLLCA La PazAwayLWDWW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.28 1.61 : 1.67
- Favourite
- 39% CA La Paz
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 65% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.45 | 3.45 | 2.38 | 1.48 | 2.33 | 1.43 | 2.59 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
CA La Paz to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz are 2.45 for CDS Tampico Madero at 1xBet, 3.45 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.38 for CA La Paz at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 89.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.48 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.33 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.43 (1xBet) and no 2.59 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
75%
Our prediction
CDS Tampico Madero or CA La Paz (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.48
BTTSBoth teams to score
65% chance1.43
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time CA La Paz, full-time CA La Paz
24% chance4.17fair
First halfFirst-half goal
77% chance1.30fair
CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz prediction
CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz prediction, who wins and at what price
CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz prediction for the Liga de Expansión MX on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model calls it close, CDS Tampico Madero 36%, draw 25%, CA La Paz 39%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
The goal expectancy is 3.28 in total, split 1.61 to CDS Tampico Madero and 1.67 to CA La Paz. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 63% and both teams to score 65%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz is cDS Tampico Madero or CA La Paz (no draw), a 75% chance. At 1.21 with 1xBet the market prices it at 83%, against 75% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches CDS Tampico Madero stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; CA La Paz show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 37% and under 3.5 59%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 84% and over 2.5 at 63%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.48 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 65%, built from CDS Tampico Madero scoring in 80% of runs and CA La Paz in 81%; clean sheets come at 19% for CDS Tampico Madero and 20% for CA La Paz.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.1%, then 1-2 at 8.4% and 2-1 at 8.1%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time CA La Paz, full-time CA La Paz leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 36% / 25% / 39% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
CDS Tampico Madero to win36%2.45
Draw25%3.45
CA La Paz to win39%2.38
CDS Tampico Madero, draw no bet48%fair 2.07
CA La Paz, draw no bet52%fair 1.93
Double chance
CDS Tampico Madero or draw61%1.43
CA La Paz or draw64%1.41
CDS Tampico Madero or CA La Paz (no draw)75%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.48
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.41
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.27
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.21
Under 2.5 goals37%2.33
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.71
BTTS
Both teams to score65%1.43
Not both teams to score35%2.59
Halves
First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.30
Second-half goal84%fair 1.20
Team goals
CDS Tampico Madero to score80%fair 1.25
CA La Paz to score81%fair 1.23
CDS Tampico Madero clean sheet19%fair 5.32
CA La Paz clean sheet20%fair 5.00
CDS Tampico Madero to win to nil17%fair 5.78
CA La Paz to win to nil18%fair 5.43
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.1%
1-28.4%
2-18.1%
2-26.8%
0-16.3%
1-06.1%
Half-time / full-time
CA La Paz / CA La Paz24%
CDS Tampico Madero / CDS Tampico Madero22.3%
Draw / CA La Paz12.8%
Draw / Draw12.2%
Draw / CDS Tampico Madero12.1%
Questions about CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz
CDS Tampico Madero or CA La Paz: which side does the model back?
The model gives CA La Paz the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 63%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz?
The BTTS yes line is rated 65%. CDS Tampico Madero find the net in 80% of simulated matches and CA La Paz in 81%.
When do CDS Tampico Madero play CA La Paz?
CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz starts at 00:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.