Liga de Expansión MX
Mineros de ZacatecasHomeLDLLL
0:2Half-time 0:1
Leones Negros UDGAwayWDLWW472429
Mineros de Zacatecas winDrawLeones Negros UDG win
Mineros de ZacatecasHomeLDLLLLeones Negros UDGAwayWDLWW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.21 1.83 : 1.38
- Favourite
- 47% Mineros de Zacatecas
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 64% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.58 | 3.36 | 1.53 | 2.29 | 1.49 | 2.42 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Mineros de Zacatecas to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Mineros de Zacatecas price at 1.89, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.58 and 1xBet have Leones Negros UDG longest at 3.36.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.53 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.29 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.49 (1xBet) and no 2.42 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
76%
Our prediction
Mineros de Zacatecas or Leones Negros UDG (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
62% chance1.53
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.49
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.80fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mineros de Zacatecas, full-time Mineros de Zacatecas
30% chance3.34fair
First halfFirst-half goal
76% chance1.31fair
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG prediction
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG prediction, who wins and at what price
The Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG prediction leans to Mineros de Zacatecas: 47% against 29% for Leones Negros UDG, with 24% left for the draw, in the Liga de Expansión MX on Sunday, 25 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 3.21 in total, split 1.83 to Mineros de Zacatecas and 1.38 to Leones Negros UDG. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 62% and both teams to score 64%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Mineros de Zacatecas or Leones Negros UDG (no draw) is the main selection, rated 76%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.21. That price implies 83%, 7 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG.
Mineros de Zacatecas average 1.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, Leones Negros UDG 2.6 and 1.4 across 5.
Goals forecast for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 38% and under 3.5 60%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 83% and over 2.5 at 62%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 62%, best priced 1.53 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 64%: Mineros de Zacatecas find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Leones Negros UDG in 75%. Mineros de Zacatecas keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and Leones Negros UDG 16%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.2%, followed by 2-1 (9.3%) and 1-0 (7.4%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Mineros de Zacatecas, full-time Mineros de Zacatecas is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.
All markets, Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 47% / 24% / 29% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Mineros de Zacatecas to win47%1.89
Draw24%3.58
Leones Negros UDG to win29%3.36
Mineros de Zacatecas, draw no bet62%fair 1.60
Leones Negros UDG, draw no bet38%fair 2.66
Double chance
Mineros de Zacatecas or draw71%1.24
Leones Negros UDG or draw53%1.73
Mineros de Zacatecas or Leones Negros UDG (no draw)76%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.53
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.50
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.88
Under 2.5 goals38%2.29
Under 3.5 goals60%fair 1.67
BTTS
Both teams to score64%1.49
Not both teams to score36%2.42
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.36
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21
Team goals
Mineros de Zacatecas to score84%fair 1.19
Leones Negros UDG to score75%fair 1.34
Mineros de Zacatecas clean sheet25%fair 3.97
Leones Negros UDG clean sheet16%fair 6.25
Mineros de Zacatecas to win to nil23%fair 4.33
Leones Negros UDG to win to nil15%fair 6.76
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.2%
2-19.3%
1-07.4%
1-27%
2-06.8%
2-26.4%
Half-time / full-time
Mineros de Zacatecas / Mineros de Zacatecas29.9%
Leones Negros UDG / Leones Negros UDG16.9%
Draw / Mineros de Zacatecas15%
Draw / Draw12.3%
Draw / Leones Negros UDG10%
Questions about Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG
Who will win Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG?
The model gives Mineros de Zacatecas the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 62% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG?
The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. Mineros de Zacatecas find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Leones Negros UDG in 75%.
When do Mineros de Zacatecas play Leones Negros UDG?
Kick-off is 00:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.