Liga de Expansión MX
Cruz Azul HidalgoHomeDWWLL
0:2Half-time 0:0
TlaxcalaAwayDWDWW282349
Cruz Azul Hidalgo winDrawTlaxcala win
Cruz Azul HidalgoHomeDWWLLTlaxcalaAwayDWDWW- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.38 1.45 : 1.93
- Favourite
- 48% Tlaxcala
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 66% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Best odds for Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.90 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.54 | 2.38 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.35 | 3.95 | 1.82 | 1.51 | 2.42 | 1.47 | 2.38 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.90 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.54 | 2.38 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.90 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.54 | 2.38 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Tlaxcala to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala prediction: Cruz Azul Hidalgo 3.50 (Melbet), draw 3.95 (BC.Game), Tlaxcala 1.90 (Melbet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.9%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.51 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.50 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.54 (Melbet) and no 2.38 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
77%
Our prediction
Cruz Azul Hidalgo or Tlaxcala (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.51
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.54
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.53fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Tlaxcala, full-time Tlaxcala
31% chance3.27fair
First halfFirst-half goal
78% chance1.28fair
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala prediction
Our Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala prediction and pick
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala prediction for the Liga de Expansión MX on Saturday, 31 October 2026: the model makes Tlaxcala a narrow favourite at 48%, with the draw at 23% and Cruz Azul Hidalgo at 28%.
Expected goals are 1.45 for Cruz Azul Hidalgo and 1.93 for Tlaxcala, a total of 3.38, which puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 66%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo or Tlaxcala (no draw) is the main selection, rated 77%. At 1.23 with Betwinner the market prices it at 81%, against 77% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala.
Form check: Cruz Azul Hidalgo have won 2 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 6 conceded, Tlaxcala 3 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 5.
Goals forecast for Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 35% and under 3.5 56%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 85% and over 2.5 at 65%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; BC.Game pay 1.51.
The chance of both teams scoring is 66%, built from Cruz Azul Hidalgo scoring in 77% of runs and Tlaxcala in 86%; clean sheets come at 15% for Cruz Azul Hidalgo and 24% for Tlaxcala.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.5%, followed by 1-2 (9.2%) and 2-1 (6.9%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Tlaxcala, full-time Tlaxcala leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 28% / 23% / 48% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Cruz Azul Hidalgo to win28%3.50
Draw23%3.95
Tlaxcala to win48%1.90
Cruz Azul Hidalgo, draw no bet37%fair 2.70
Tlaxcala, draw no bet63%fair 1.59
Double chance
Cruz Azul Hidalgo or draw52%1.84
Tlaxcala or draw72%1.28
Cruz Azul Hidalgo or Tlaxcala (no draw)77%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%1.51
Over 3.5 goals44%fair 2.29
Over 4.5 goals25%fair 3.97
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.71
Under 2.5 goals35%2.50
Under 3.5 goals56%fair 1.78
BTTS
Both teams to score66%1.54
Not both teams to score34%2.38
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.23
Second-half goal84%fair 1.18
Team goals
Cruz Azul Hidalgo to score77%fair 1.31
Tlaxcala to score86%fair 1.17
Cruz Azul Hidalgo clean sheet15%fair 6.90
Tlaxcala clean sheet24%fair 4.26
Cruz Azul Hidalgo to win to nil13%fair 7.46
Tlaxcala to win to nil22%fair 4.63
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.5%
1-29.2%
2-16.9%
2-26.7%
0-16.6%
0-26.3%
Half-time / full-time
Tlaxcala / Tlaxcala30.6%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo / Cruz Azul Hidalgo17%
Draw / Tlaxcala14.9%
Draw / Draw11.5%
Draw / Cruz Azul Hidalgo9.7%
Questions about Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala
Who is favourite in Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala?
The model gives Tlaxcala the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 23%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 65% backs the same picture with less variance.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. Cruz Azul Hidalgo find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Tlaxcala in 86%.
When do Cruz Azul Hidalgo play Tlaxcala?
Kick-off is 21:45 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.