Liga de Expansión MX
Alebrijes de OaxacaHomeLWWWW
1:0Half-time 1:0
Mineros de ZacatecasAwayLDLLL372340
Alebrijes de Oaxaca winDrawMineros de Zacatecas win
Alebrijes de OaxacaHomeLWWWWMineros de ZacatecasAwayLDLLL- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.14 1.53 : 1.61
- Favourite
- 40% Mineros de Zacatecas
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.43 | 3.62 | 2.32 | 1.56 | 2.22 | 1.49 | 2.42 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.60 | 3.56 | 2.48 | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.48 | 2.48 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.44 | 3.80 | 2.34 | 1.56 | 2.32 | 1.46 | 2.40 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.60 | 3.56 | 2.48 | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.48 | 2.48 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.60 | 3.56 | 2.48 | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.48 | 2.48 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Mineros de Zacatecas to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas prediction: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2.60 (Melbet), draw 3.80 (BC.Game), Mineros de Zacatecas 2.48 (Melbet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.60 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.32 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.49 (1xBet) and no 2.48 (Betwinner).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
77%
Our prediction
Alebrijes de Oaxaca or Mineros de Zacatecas (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.60
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.49
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mineros de Zacatecas, full-time Mineros de Zacatecas
24% chance4.17fair
First halfFirst-half goal
76% chance1.32fair
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas prediction
Our Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas prediction and pick
Nothing separates the sides in the Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas prediction for Friday, 30 October 2026: 37% home, 23% draw and 40% away in the Liga de Expansión MX. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca are expected to score 1.53 and Mineros de Zacatecas 1.61, so the total line is 3.14 goals; over 2.5 lands at 60% and BTTS at 63%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca or Mineros de Zacatecas (no draw) is the main selection, rated 77%. The best price in our comparison is 1.27 at Melbet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca average 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Mineros de Zacatecas 1.0 and 2.2 across 5.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 40% and under 3.5 62%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 82% and over 2.5 at 60%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 60%; Melbet pay 1.60.
Both teams to score is 63%: Alebrijes de Oaxaca find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Mineros de Zacatecas in 80%. Alebrijes de Oaxaca keep a clean sheet 20% of the time and Mineros de Zacatecas 22%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.7%, followed by 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.2%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Mineros de Zacatecas, full-time Mineros de Zacatecas is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.
All markets, Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 37% / 23% / 40% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Alebrijes de Oaxaca to win37%2.60
Draw23%3.80
Mineros de Zacatecas to win40%2.48
Alebrijes de Oaxaca, draw no bet48%fair 2.09
Mineros de Zacatecas, draw no bet52%fair 1.92
Double chance
Alebrijes de Oaxaca or draw60%1.50
Mineros de Zacatecas or draw63%1.46
Alebrijes de Oaxaca or Mineros de Zacatecas (no draw)77%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.60
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.60
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.78
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.59
Under 2.5 goals40%2.32
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.62
BTTS
Both teams to score63%1.49
Not both teams to score37%2.48
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.42
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
Alebrijes de Oaxaca to score78%fair 1.28
Mineros de Zacatecas to score80%fair 1.25
Alebrijes de Oaxaca clean sheet20%fair 5.00
Mineros de Zacatecas clean sheet22%fair 4.61
Alebrijes de Oaxaca to win to nil18%fair 5.43
Mineros de Zacatecas to win to nil20%fair 5.03
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.7%
1-28.6%
2-18.2%
0-17%
1-06.6%
2-26.6%
Half-time / full-time
Mineros de Zacatecas / Mineros de Zacatecas24%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca / Alebrijes de Oaxaca21.7%
Draw / Mineros de Zacatecas13.1%
Draw / Draw12.8%
Draw / Alebrijes de Oaxaca12.2%
Questions about Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas
Who is favourite in Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
The model gives Mineros de Zacatecas the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 23%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Alebrijes de Oaxaca find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Mineros de Zacatecas in 80%.
What time does Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas kick off?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas starts at 01:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.