Liga de Expansión MX
DurangoHomeWDWLW
3:1Half-time 2:0
MonarcasAwayDDLWL462628
Durango winDrawMonarcas win
DurangoHomeWDWLWMonarcasAwayDDLWL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.52 1.46 : 1.06
- Favourite
- 46% Durango
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Durango vs Monarcas odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
74%
Our prediction
Durango or Monarcas (no draw)
1.36fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.85fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance2.00fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Durango, full-time Durango
28% chance3.60fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair
Durango vs Monarcas prediction
Our Durango vs Monarcas prediction and pick
Durango are marginally ahead in the Durango vs Monarcas prediction, rated 46% to win this Liga de Expansión MX match on Sunday, 1 November 2026. Monarcas sit at 27% and the draw at 26%.
The goal expectancy is 2.52 in total, split 1.46 to Durango and 1.06 to Monarcas. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 50%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Durango or Monarcas (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Form check: Durango have won 3 of their last 5 with 14 scored and 6 conceded, Monarcas 1 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 8.
Durango vs Monarcas goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Durango vs Monarcas reads 72% for over 1.5, 46% for over 2.5 and 25% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 54%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%.
BTTS yes stands at 50%. Durango score in 77% of simulations against a 23% clean sheet for Monarcas; Monarcas score in 65% while Durango shut them out 35% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.5%, then 1-0 at 11.7% and 2-1 at 9.1%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Durango, full-time Durango leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Durango vs Monarcas
The grid built from 1.46 and 1.06 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Durango to win46%fair 2.16
Draw26%fair 3.82
Monarcas to win27%fair 3.65
Durango, draw no bet63%fair 1.59
Monarcas, draw no bet37%fair 2.70
Double chance
Durango or draw73%fair 1.38
Monarcas or draw54%fair 1.87
Durango or Monarcas (no draw)74%fair 1.36
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%fair 2.17
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.05
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.93
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.53
Under 2.5 goals54%fair 1.85
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.33
BTTS
Both teams to score50%fair 2.00
Not both teams to score50%fair 2.00
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.19
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Durango to score77%fair 1.30
Monarcas to score65%fair 1.53
Durango clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Monarcas clean sheet23%fair 4.31
Durango to win to nil32%fair 3.13
Monarcas to win to nil21%fair 4.67
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.5%
1-011.7%
2-19.1%
2-08.6%
0-18.5%
0-08%
Half-time / full-time
Durango / Durango27.8%
Draw / Draw16.4%
Draw / Durango16.2%
Monarcas / Monarcas15.4%
Draw / Monarcas10.5%
Questions about Durango vs Monarcas
Durango or Monarcas: which side does the model back?
The model gives Durango the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Durango vs Monarcas?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 46%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Durango vs Monarcas?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Durango find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Monarcas in 65%.
When do Durango play Monarcas?
Durango vs Monarcas starts at 01:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.