J2 League
Shonan BellmareHomeDDDWL
Tue 3 Nov
Sagan TosuAwayWLWLL342838
Shonan Bellmare winDrawSagan Tosu win
Shonan BellmareHomeDDDWLSagan TosuAwayWLWLL- Kick-off Tue 3 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.47 1.19 : 1.28
- Favourite
- 38% Sagan Tosu
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.84 | 3.30 | 2.22 | 1.92 | 1.76 | 1.74 | 1.96 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.84 | 3.30 | 2.22 | 1.92 | 1.76 | 1.74 | 1.96 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.86 | 3.25 | 2.32 | - | - | 1.72 | 1.96 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.84 | 3.30 | 2.22 | 1.92 | 1.76 | 1.74 | 1.96 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.84 | 3.30 | 2.22 | 1.92 | 1.76 | 1.74 | 1.96 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sagan Tosu to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu prediction: Shonan Bellmare 2.86 (BC.Game), draw 3.30 (22Bet), Sagan Tosu 2.32 (BC.Game).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.92 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.76 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (22Bet) and no 1.96 (BC.Game).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.76
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sagan Tosu, full-time Sagan Tosu
23% chance4.44fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair
Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu odds movement
Shonan Bellmare win2.86unchanged
Draw3.30unchanged
Sagan Tosu win2.32unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.92-0.02
Under 2.5 goals1.76-0.02
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu prediction
Our Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu prediction and pick
Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu prediction for the J2 League on Tuesday, 3 November 2026: the model calls it close, Shonan Bellmare 34%, draw 28%, Sagan Tosu 38%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
The goal expectancy is 2.47 in total, split 1.19 to Shonan Bellmare and 1.28 to Sagan Tosu. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 52%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu is shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu (no draw), a 72% chance. BC.Game offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 6 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Shonan Bellmare average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Sagan Tosu 1.0 and 1.4 across 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu
Under 2.5 goals is rated 55% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 71% and over 2.5 at 45%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 22Bet pay 1.76.
BTTS yes stands at 52%. Shonan Bellmare score in 70% of simulations against a 30% clean sheet for Sagan Tosu; Sagan Tosu score in 72% while Shonan Bellmare shut them out 28% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.9%, then 0-1 at 10.8% and 1-0 at 10.1%.
With the top scoreline at 12.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sagan Tosu, full-time Sagan Tosu leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Shonan Bellmare to win34%2.86
Draw28%3.30
Sagan Tosu to win38%2.32
Shonan Bellmare, draw no bet47%fair 2.13
Sagan Tosu, draw no bet53%fair 1.88
Double chance
Shonan Bellmare or draw62%1.53
Sagan Tosu or draw66%1.35
Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu (no draw)72%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals45%1.92
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.52
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.40
Under 2.5 goals55%1.76
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.74
Not both teams to score48%1.96
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.28
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Shonan Bellmare to score70%fair 1.44
Sagan Tosu to score72%fair 1.39
Shonan Bellmare clean sheet28%fair 3.60
Sagan Tosu clean sheet30%fair 3.29
Shonan Bellmare to win to nil26%fair 3.91
Sagan Tosu to win to nil28%fair 3.57
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.9%
0-110.8%
1-010.1%
0-08.5%
1-28.2%
2-17.7%
Half-time / full-time
Sagan Tosu / Sagan Tosu22.5%
Shonan Bellmare / Shonan Bellmare19.7%
Draw / Draw17.1%
Draw / Sagan Tosu14%
Draw / Shonan Bellmare12.7%
Questions about Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu
Who is favourite in Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu?
The model gives Sagan Tosu the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Shonan Bellmare find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Sagan Tosu in 72%.
What time does Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu kick off?
Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu starts at 05:00 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.