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Live 8 UTC
J2 League Round 15 Tuesday, 3 November 2026 Kick-off
Montedio YamagataHomeLDLLW
Tue 3 Nov
Tokushima VortisAwayLDLWL
393031
Montedio Yamagata winDrawTokushima Vortis win
Kick-off
Tue 3 Nov
Expected goals
2.36
1.26 : 1.10
Favourite
39%
Montedio Yamagata
Over 2.5 goals
42%
model chance
Both teams to score
49%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.343.002.892.041.671.801.89Bet
22Bet2.343.002.892.041.671.801.89Bet
BC.Game2.383.152.862.041.711.771.90Bet
Betwinner2.343.002.892.041.671.801.89Bet
Melbet2.343.002.892.041.671.801.89Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Montedio Yamagata to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis are 2.38 for Montedio Yamagata at BC.Game, 3.15 for the draw at BC.Game and 2.89 for Tokushima Vortis at Melbet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 92.3%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.04 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.71 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.80 (22Bet) and no 1.90 (BC.Game).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

70%

Our prediction

Montedio Yamagata or Tokushima Vortis (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.26 : 1.10-8.6% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.71
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.90
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
68% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.63fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Montedio Yamagata, full-time Montedio Yamagata
23% chance4.29fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.53fair

Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis prediction

Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis prediction, who wins and at what price

Nothing separates the sides in the Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis prediction for Tuesday, 3 November 2026: 39% home, 30% draw and 31% away in the J2 League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Expected goals are 1.26 for Montedio Yamagata and 1.10 for Tokushima Vortis, a total of 2.36, which puts over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 49%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is montedio Yamagata or Tokushima Vortis (no draw) at 70%. At 1.30 with BC.Game the market prices it at 77%, against 70% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis.

Form check: Montedio Yamagata have won 1 of their last 5 with 2 scored and 6 conceded, Tokushima Vortis 1 of 5 scoring 2 and conceding 4.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 68%, over 2.5 at 42%, over 3.5 at 21%; under 2.5 is 58% and under 3.5 is 79%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.71 at BC.Game.

Both teams to score is 49%: Montedio Yamagata find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Tokushima Vortis in 67%. Montedio Yamagata keep a clean sheet 33% of the time and Tokushima Vortis 28%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13.1%, then 1-0 at 11.9% and 0-1 at 10.4%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Montedio Yamagata, full-time Montedio Yamagata is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 65%.

All markets, Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Montedio Yamagata to win39%2.38
Draw30%3.15
Tokushima Vortis to win31%2.89
Montedio Yamagata, draw no bet56%fair 1.80
Tokushima Vortis, draw no bet45%fair 2.25

Double chance

Montedio Yamagata or draw69%1.36
Tokushima Vortis or draw61%1.50
Montedio Yamagata or Tokushima Vortis (no draw)70%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals68%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals42%2.04
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.69
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.99
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.15
Under 2.5 goals58%1.71
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.27

BTTS

Both teams to score49%1.80
Not both teams to score51%1.90

Halves

First-half goal65%fair 1.53
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.48
Second-half goal73%fair 1.38

Team goals

Montedio Yamagata to score72%fair 1.40
Tokushima Vortis to score67%fair 1.50
Montedio Yamagata clean sheet33%fair 3.00
Tokushima Vortis clean sheet28%fair 3.52
Montedio Yamagata to win to nil31%fair 3.27
Tokushima Vortis to win to nil26%fair 3.83

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-011.9%
0-110.4%
0-09.4%
2-18.2%
2-07.5%

Half-time / full-time

Montedio Yamagata / Montedio Yamagata23.3%
Tokushima Vortis / Tokushima Vortis18.2%
Draw / Draw18%
Draw / Montedio Yamagata14.7%
Draw / Tokushima Vortis12.3%

Questions about Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis

Montedio Yamagata or Tokushima Vortis: which side does the model back?

The model gives Montedio Yamagata the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 42% backs the same picture with less variance.

Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Montedio Yamagata find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Tokushima Vortis in 67%.

When do Montedio Yamagata play Tokushima Vortis?

Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis starts at 05:00 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Montedio Yamagata v Tokushima VortisMontedio Yamagata or Tokushima Vortis (no draw), 70%
1.30Bet