Serie C - Girone C
CasertanaHomeLWDDL
1:1Half-time 0:0
BariAwayLWDDD392932
Casertana winDrawBari win
CasertanaHomeLWDDLBariAwayLWDDD- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.51 1.33 : 1.18
- Favourite
- 39% Casertana
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Casertana vs Bari betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.32 | 3.16 | 2.67 | 1.96 | 1.72 | 1.75 | 1.93 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Casertana to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Casertana price at 2.32, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.16 and 1xBet have Bari longest at 2.67.
The best-price payout across the three results is 89.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.96 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.72 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.75 (1xBet) and no 1.93 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
71%
Our prediction
Casertana or Bari (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.72
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.75
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.40fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Casertana, full-time Casertana
24% chance4.24fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.48fair
Casertana vs Bari odds movement
Casertana win2.32-0.16
Draw3.16-0.09
Bari win2.67-0.26
Over 2.5 goals1.96-0.09
Under 2.5 goals1.72-0.07
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Casertana vs Bari prediction
Our Casertana vs Bari prediction and pick
The Casertana vs Bari prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Serie C - Girone C on Friday, 23 October 2026 gives Casertana a 39% chance, Bari 32% and the draw 29%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Expected goals are 1.33 for Casertana and 1.18 for Bari, a total of 2.51, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 52%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Casertana vs Bari is casertana or Bari (no draw), a 71% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.24 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 10 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Casertana have won 1 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 5 conceded, Bari 1 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 4.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Casertana vs Bari
Under 2.5 goals is rated 54% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 72% and over 2.5 at 46%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 1xBet pay 1.72.
The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Casertana scoring in 74% of runs and Bari in 69%; clean sheets come at 31% for Casertana and 26% for Bari.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Casertana vs Bari: 1-1 (12.8%), 1-0 (10.8%) and 0-1 (9.6%).
With the top scoreline at 12.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Casertana vs Bari; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Casertana, full-time Casertana is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
Every market rated for Casertana vs Bari
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 39% / 29% / 32% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Casertana to win39%2.32
Draw29%3.16
Bari to win32%2.67
Casertana, draw no bet55%fair 1.82
Bari, draw no bet45%fair 2.22
Double chance
Casertana or draw68%1.34
Bari or draw61%1.45
Casertana or Bari (no draw)71%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.40
Over 2.5 goals46%1.96
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.08
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.09
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.51
Under 2.5 goals54%1.72
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.75
Not both teams to score48%1.93
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.21
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
Casertana to score74%fair 1.36
Bari to score69%fair 1.44
Casertana clean sheet31%fair 3.26
Bari clean sheet26%fair 3.79
Casertana to win to nil28%fair 3.53
Bari to win to nil24%fair 4.12
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.8%
1-010.8%
0-19.6%
2-18.5%
0-08.1%
1-27.5%
Half-time / full-time
Casertana / Casertana23.6%
Bari / Bari18.9%
Draw / Draw16.8%
Draw / Casertana14.4%
Draw / Bari12.3%
Questions about Casertana vs Bari
Who will win Casertana vs Bari?
The model gives Casertana the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Casertana vs Bari?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 46%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Casertana vs Bari?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Casertana find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Bari in 69%.
When do Casertana play Bari?
Kick-off is 18:30 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.