Serie C - Girone C
BariHomeLWDDD
1:1Half-time 1:1
ScafateseAwayWDWLD542719
Bari winDrawScafatese win
BariHomeLWDDDScafateseAwayWDWLD- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.49 1.60 : 0.89
- Favourite
- 54% Bari
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Bari vs Scafatese betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.86 | 3.37 | 4.24 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.78 | 3.25 | 4.30 | 2.00 | 1.74 | 1.84 | 1.80 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.86 | 3.37 | 4.24 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.86 | 3.37 | 4.24 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Bari to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best Bari price at 1.86, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.37 and BC.Game have Scafatese longest at 4.30.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.01 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.80 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (22Bet) and no 1.87 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
54%
Our prediction
Bari to win
Double chanceBari or draw
81% chance1.20
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.80
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.87
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.41fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bari, full-time Bari
33% chance3.00fair
Bari vs Scafatese prediction
Our Bari vs Scafatese prediction and pick
Bari host Scafatese on Saturday, 31 October 2026 in the Serie C - Girone C, and the model has Bari at 54%, the draw at 27% and Scafatese at 19%: that is the Bari vs Scafatese prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.60 for Bari and 0.89 for Scafatese, a total of 2.49, which puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 49%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Bari to win is the main selection, rated 54%. The best price in our comparison is 1.86 at 22Bet, which implies 54%, so the model sits 0 points below the market.
Bari or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.20.
Over the last 5 matches Bari stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Scafatese show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Bari vs Scafatese
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 71%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 24%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 76%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 22Bet pay 1.80.
The chance of both teams scoring is 49%, built from Bari scoring in 80% of runs and Scafatese in 59%; clean sheets come at 41% for Bari and 20% for Scafatese.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Bari vs Scafatese: 1-0 (13.3%), 1-1 (11.8%) and 2-0 (10.6%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Bari, full-time Bari leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Bari vs Scafatese
The grid built from 1.60 and 0.89 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Bari to win54%1.86
Draw27%3.37
Scafatese to win19%4.30
Bari, draw no bet73%fair 1.36
Scafatese, draw no bet27%fair 3.76
Double chance
Bari or draw81%1.20
Scafatese or draw47%1.88
Bari or Scafatese (no draw)73%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%2.01
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.17
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.35
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.46
Under 2.5 goals55%1.80
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score49%1.87
Not both teams to score52%1.87
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.25
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
Bari to score80%fair 1.25
Scafatese to score59%fair 1.70
Bari clean sheet41%fair 2.43
Scafatese clean sheet20%fair 4.95
Bari to win to nil38%fair 2.65
Scafatese to win to nil18%fair 5.62
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-013.3%
1-111.8%
2-010.6%
2-19.4%
0-08.3%
0-17.4%
Half-time / full-time
Bari / Bari33.3%
Draw / Bari18.3%
Draw / Draw16.1%
Scafatese / Scafatese11.4%
Draw / Scafatese8.3%
Questions about Bari vs Scafatese
Bari or Scafatese: which side does the model back?
The model gives Bari the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 27%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Bari vs Scafatese correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Bari vs Scafatese both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Bari find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Scafatese in 59%.
When do Bari play Scafatese?
Bari vs Scafatese starts at 13:30 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.