Serie C - Girone B
Ostia MareHomeDDLLL
Sat 7 Nov
SpeziaAwayWWWDW222850
Ostia Mare winDrawSpezia win
Ostia MareHomeDDLLLSpeziaAwayWWWDW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.14 0.78 : 1.36
- Favourite
- 50% Spezia
- Over 2.5 goals
- 36% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 40% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Ostia Mare vs Spezia odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Ostia Mare vs Spezia yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
50%
Our prediction
Spezia to win
1.99fair
Double chanceSpezia or draw
78% chance1.28fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
64% chance1.57fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
60% chance1.68fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
63% chance1.58fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
16% chance6.25fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Spezia, full-time Spezia
30% chance3.31fair
Ostia Mare vs Spezia prediction
Ostia Mare vs Spezia prediction and best bet
The Ostia Mare vs Spezia prediction leans to Spezia: 50% against 22% for Ostia Mare, with 28% left for the draw, in the Serie C - Girone B on Saturday, 7 November 2026.
Expected goals are 0.78 for Ostia Mare and 1.36 for Spezia, a total of 2.14, which puts over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams to score at 40%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Ostia Mare vs Spezia is spezia to win, a 50% chance. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Spezia or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance.
Ostia Mare average 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Spezia 1.4 and 0.4 across 5.
A low-scoring Ostia Mare vs Spezia? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 64% and under 3.5 83%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 63% and over 2.5 at 36%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%.
Both teams to score is 40%: Ostia Mare find the net in 54% of simulated matches and Spezia in 74%. Ostia Mare keep a clean sheet 26% of the time and Spezia 46%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 16%, followed by 1-1 (12.5%) and 0-0 (11.8%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Spezia, full-time Spezia is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 62%.
Every market rated for Ostia Mare vs Spezia
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 22% / 28% / 50% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Ostia Mare to win22%fair 4.61
Draw28%fair 3.57
Spezia to win50%fair 1.99
Ostia Mare, draw no bet30%fair 3.32
Spezia, draw no bet70%fair 1.43
Double chance
Ostia Mare or draw50%fair 2.01
Spezia or draw78%fair 1.28
Ostia Mare or Spezia (no draw)72%fair 1.39
Goals
Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.13
Over 1.5 goals63%fair 1.58
Over 2.5 goals36%fair 2.76
Over 3.5 goals17%fair 5.92
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 15.15
Under 1.5 goals37%fair 2.71
Under 2.5 goals64%fair 1.57
Under 3.5 goals83%fair 1.20
BTTS
Both teams to score40%fair 2.48
Not both teams to score60%fair 1.68
Halves
First-half goal62%fair 1.62
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 3.98
Second-half goal69%fair 1.45
Team goals
Ostia Mare to score54%fair 1.85
Spezia to score74%fair 1.35
Ostia Mare clean sheet26%fair 3.89
Spezia clean sheet46%fair 2.18
Ostia Mare to win to nil20%fair 5.00
Spezia to win to nil42%fair 2.37
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
0-116%
1-112.5%
0-011.8%
0-210.9%
1-09.2%
1-28.5%
Half-time / full-time
Spezia / Spezia30.2%
Draw / Draw19.4%
Draw / Spezia18.4%
Ostia Mare / Ostia Mare11.5%
Draw / Ostia Mare8.9%
Questions about Ostia Mare vs Spezia
Who will win Ostia Mare vs Spezia?
The model gives Spezia the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 28%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Ostia Mare vs Spezia correct score: what does the model say?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 16%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 36% backs the same picture with less variance.
Ostia Mare vs Spezia both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. Ostia Mare find the net in 54% of simulated matches and Spezia in 74%.
When do Ostia Mare play Spezia?
Kick-off is 13:30 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.