Spezia vs Atalanta II prediction

Spezia vs Atalanta II prediction and best bet

Spezia vs Atalanta II prediction for the Serie C - Girone B on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model makes Spezia the clear favourite at 64%, with the draw at 22% and Atalanta II at 14%.

Spezia are expected to score 1.97 and Atalanta II 0.82, so the total line is 2.79 goals; over 2.5 lands at 52% and BTTS at 49%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Spezia vs Atalanta II is spezia to win, a 64% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.49 at 22Bet, which implies 67%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Spezia vs Atalanta II.

Spezia or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 86% chance, priced 1.09.

The draw sits at only 22%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Spezia average 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded across their last 5, Atalanta II 1.2 and 1.4 across 5.

Spezia vs Atalanta II goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 48% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 52%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 22Bet pay 1.81.

The chance of both teams scoring is 49%, built from Spezia scoring in 86% of runs and Atalanta II in 56%; clean sheets come at 44% for Spezia and 14% for Atalanta II.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 12.1%, followed by 2-0 (11.9%) and 1-1 (9.9%).

With the top scoreline at 12.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Spezia vs Atalanta II; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Spezia, full-time Spezia leads at 42%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.