Pianese vs Perugia prediction

Pianese vs Perugia prediction, who wins and at what price

Pianese are marginally ahead in the Pianese vs Perugia prediction, rated 39% to win this Serie C - Girone B match on Sunday, 8 November 2026. Perugia sit at 31% and the draw at 30%.

Expected goals are 1.14 for Pianese and 0.98 for Perugia, a total of 2.12, which puts over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams to score at 42%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is pianese or Perugia (no draw) at 70%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Pianese average 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded across their last 5, Perugia 2.0 and 1.4 across 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Pianese vs Perugia

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 63%, over 2.5 at 35%, over 3.5 at 17%; under 2.5 is 65% and under 3.5 is 84%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 65%.

Both teams to score is 42%: Pianese find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Perugia in 63%. Pianese keep a clean sheet 38% of the time and Perugia 32%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Pianese vs Perugia: 1-0 (13.7%), 1-1 (13.4%) and 0-0 (12%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Pianese, full-time Pianese is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 62%.