State Cup
Hapoel Nazareth IllitHomeWL
1:2Half-time 0:0
Maccabi YavneAwayWW422731
Hapoel Nazareth Illit winDrawMaccabi Yavne win
Hapoel Nazareth IllitHomeWLMaccabi YavneAwayWW- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.85 1.54 : 1.31
- Favourite
- 42% Hapoel Nazareth Illit
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 59% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Yavne
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.06 | 3.70 | 3.09 | 1.76 | 2.00 | 1.66 | 2.09 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best Hapoel Nazareth Illit price at 2.06, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.70 and 22Bet have Maccabi Yavne longest at 3.09.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.76 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.00 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.66 (22Bet) and no 2.09 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
73%
Our prediction
Hapoel Nazareth Illit or Maccabi Yavne (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.76
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.29fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.55fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Hapoel Nazareth Illit, full-time Hapoel Nazareth Illit
26% chance3.89fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.38fair
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Yavne prediction
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Yavne prediction, who wins and at what price
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Yavne prediction for the State Cup on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit marginally ahead at 42%, with the draw at 27% and Maccabi Yavne at 32%.
The goal expectancy is 2.85 in total, split 1.54 to Hapoel Nazareth Illit and 1.31 to Maccabi Yavne. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 54% and both teams to score 59%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit or Maccabi Yavne (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. At 1.23 with 22Bet the market prices it at 81%, against 73% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Yavne.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Yavne goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 46% and under 3.5 68%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 54%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.76 at 22Bet.
BTTS yes stands at 59%. Hapoel Nazareth Illit score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Maccabi Yavne; Maccabi Yavne score in 73% while Hapoel Nazareth Illit shut them out 27% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Yavne: 1-1 (11.7%), 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (8.9%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Hapoel Nazareth Illit, full-time Hapoel Nazareth Illit is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.
Every market rated for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Yavne
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 42% / 27% / 32% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win42%2.06
Draw27%3.70
Maccabi Yavne to win32%3.09
Hapoel Nazareth Illit, draw no bet57%fair 1.76
Maccabi Yavne, draw no bet43%fair 2.32
Double chance
Hapoel Nazareth Illit or draw68%1.32
Maccabi Yavne or draw58%1.68
Hapoel Nazareth Illit or Maccabi Yavne (no draw)73%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.29
Over 2.5 goals54%1.76
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.13
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.25
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.48
Under 2.5 goals46%2.00
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.47
BTTS
Both teams to score59%1.66
Not both teams to score41%2.09
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.72
Second-half goal79%fair 1.26
Team goals
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to score79%fair 1.27
Maccabi Yavne to score73%fair 1.37
Hapoel Nazareth Illit clean sheet27%fair 3.70
Maccabi Yavne clean sheet21%fair 4.67
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win to nil25%fair 4.03
Maccabi Yavne to win to nil20%fair 5.08
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.7%
2-19%
1-08.9%
1-27.6%
0-17.6%
2-06.9%
Half-time / full-time
Hapoel Nazareth Illit / Hapoel Nazareth Illit25.7%
Maccabi Yavne / Maccabi Yavne18.8%
Draw / Hapoel Nazareth Illit14.4%
Draw / Draw14.4%
Draw / Maccabi Yavne11.5%
Questions about Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Yavne
Who is favourite in Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Yavne?
The model gives Hapoel Nazareth Illit the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Yavne?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 54% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Yavne?
The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Hapoel Nazareth Illit find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Maccabi Yavne in 73%.
When is Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Yavne and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 17:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.