State Cup
Maccabi Kiryat MalachiHomeWW
3:2Half-time 1:2
Hapoel Daliyat Al KarmelAwayWL532126
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi winDrawHapoel Daliyat Al Karmel win
Maccabi Kiryat MalachiHomeWWHapoel Daliyat Al KarmelAwayWL- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.48 2.09 : 1.39
- Favourite
- 53% Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 66% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
53%
Our prediction
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi to win
1.87fair
Double chanceMaccabi Kiryat Malachi or Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel (no draw)
79% chance1.27fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
68% chance1.48fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.52fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance10.64fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Maccabi Kiryat Malachi, full-time Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
34% chance2.92fair
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel prediction
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel prediction, who wins and at what price
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel prediction for the State Cup on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model makes Maccabi Kiryat Malachi a narrow favourite at 53%, with the draw at 21% and Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel at 26%.
Expected goals are 2.09 for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi and 1.39 for Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel, a total of 3.48, which puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 66%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel is maccabi Kiryat Malachi to win, a 53% chance. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
For a safer line, maccabi Kiryat Malachi or Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel (no draw) covers 79% of outcomes.
The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Goals forecast for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 32% and under 3.5 54%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 86% and over 2.5 at 68%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 68%.
Both teams to score is 66%: Maccabi Kiryat Malachi find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel in 75%. Maccabi Kiryat Malachi keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel 12%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.
Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.4%, then 1-1 at 8.9% and 2-0 at 6.7%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Maccabi Kiryat Malachi, full-time Maccabi Kiryat Malachi leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel
The grid built from 2.09 and 1.39 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi to win53%fair 1.87
Draw21%fair 4.74
Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel to win26%fair 3.92
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi, draw no bet68%fair 1.48
Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel, draw no bet32%fair 3.10
Double chance
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi or draw75%fair 1.34
Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel or draw47%fair 2.15
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi or Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel (no draw)79%fair 1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals68%fair 1.48
Over 3.5 goals46%fair 2.18
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.69
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.25
Under 2.5 goals32%fair 3.09
Under 3.5 goals54%fair 1.85
BTTS
Both teams to score66%fair 1.52
Not both teams to score34%fair 2.93
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.26
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.16
Second-half goal85%fair 1.17
Team goals
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi to score88%fair 1.14
Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel to score75%fair 1.33
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi clean sheet25%fair 4.02
Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel clean sheet12%fair 8.06
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi to win to nil23%fair 4.37
Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel to win to nil11%fair 8.77
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.4%
1-18.9%
2-06.7%
3-16.5%
2-26.5%
1-06.4%
Half-time / full-time
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi / Maccabi Kiryat Malachi34.2%
Draw / Maccabi Kiryat Malachi15.7%
Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel / Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel14.6%
Draw / Draw10.8%
Draw / Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel8.6%
Questions about Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel
Who is favourite in Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel?
The model gives Maccabi Kiryat Malachi the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 21%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 68% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel?
The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. Maccabi Kiryat Malachi find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel in 75%.
When is Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Daliyat Al Karmel and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 17:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.