PersijaHomeWLWWL
Persebaya SurabayaAwayWDLWD
PersijaHomeWLWWL
Persebaya SurabayaAwayWDLWD| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.70 | 3.58 | 4.15 | 1.70 | 1.99 | 1.65 | 2.07 | Bet | |
| 1.60 | 3.70 | 4.71 | 1.68 | 2.02 | 1.68 | 2.03 | Bet | |
| 1.60 | 3.70 | 4.71 | 1.68 | 2.02 | 1.68 | 2.03 | Bet | |
| 1.60 | 3.70 | 4.71 | 1.68 | 2.02 | 1.68 | 2.03 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
1xBet pay the best Persija price at 1.70, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.70 and 22Bet have Persebaya Surabaya longest at 4.71.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.70 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.02 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.68 (22Bet) and no 2.07 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
The Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya prediction leans to Persija: 55% against 20% for Persebaya Surabaya, with 25% left for the draw, in the Liga 1 on Saturday, 7 November 2026.
Persija are expected to score 1.81 and Persebaya Surabaya 1.03, so the total line is 2.84 goals; over 2.5 lands at 54% and BTTS at 55%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya is persija to win, a 55% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.70. That price implies 59%, 4 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya.
Persija or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.15.
Form check: Persija have won 3 of their last 5 with 14 scored and 7 conceded, Persebaya Surabaya 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 5.
On the goal lines Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya reads 78% for over 1.5, 54% for over 2.5 and 32% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 46%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 1xBet pay 1.70.
Both teams to score is 55%: Persija find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Persebaya Surabaya in 64%. Persija keep a clean sheet 36% of the time and Persebaya Surabaya 16%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.9%, followed by 1-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.9%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Persija, full-time Persija is the top combination at 35%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.
The grid built from 1.81 and 1.03 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Persija the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 54% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Persija find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Persebaya Surabaya in 64%.
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.