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Live 22 UTC
Liga 1 Round 7 Monday, 26 October 2026 FT
Persebaya SurabayaHomeWDLWD
3:1Half-time 1:0
Persepam Madura UtdAwayLDWLW
632116
Persebaya Surabaya winDrawPersepam Madura Utd win
Kick-off
Mon 26 Oct
Expected goals
2.96
2.04 : 0.92
Favourite
63%
Persebaya Surabaya
Over 2.5 goals
56%
model chance
Both teams to score
54%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.454.105.651.572.141.692.00Bet
22Bet1.454.105.651.572.141.692.01Bet
BC.Game1.464.306.001.632.161.741.93Bet
Betwinner1.454.105.651.572.141.692.01Bet
Melbet1.454.105.651.572.141.692.01Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Persebaya Surabaya to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd are 1.46 for Persebaya Surabaya at BC.Game, 4.30 for the draw at BC.Game and 6.00 for Persepam Madura Utd at BC.Game.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.63 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.16 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (BC.Game) and no 2.01 (Melbet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

63%

Our prediction

Persebaya Surabaya to win
BankerExpected goals 2.04 : 0.92-7.7% against the best price
Double chancePersebaya Surabaya or draw
84% chance1.09
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.63
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance9.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Persebaya Surabaya, full-time Persebaya Surabaya
41% chance2.43fair

Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd prediction

Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd prediction, who wins and at what price

Persebaya Surabaya host Persepam Madura Utd on Monday, 26 October 2026 in the Liga 1, and the model has Persebaya Surabaya at 63%, the draw at 21% and Persepam Madura Utd at 16%: that is the Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd prediction in one line.

Persebaya Surabaya are expected to score 2.04 and Persepam Madura Utd 0.92, so the total line is 2.96 goals; over 2.5 lands at 56% and BTTS at 54%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is persebaya Surabaya to win at 63%. At 1.46 with BC.Game the market prices it at 68%, against 63% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, persebaya Surabaya or draw covers 84% of outcomes at 1.09.

The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Persebaya Surabaya average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Persepam Madura Utd 1.2 and 1.6 across 5.

How many goals in Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd reads 80% for over 1.5, 56% for over 2.5 and 34% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 44%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; BC.Game pay 1.63.

The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from Persebaya Surabaya scoring in 87% of runs and Persepam Madura Utd in 60%; clean sheets come at 40% for Persebaya Surabaya and 13% for Persepam Madura Utd.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 10.8%, then 1-0 at 10.6% and 2-1 at 9.9%.

With the top scoreline at 10.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Persebaya Surabaya, full-time Persebaya Surabaya leads at 41%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Persebaya Surabaya to win63%1.46
Draw21%4.30
Persepam Madura Utd to win16%6.00
Persebaya Surabaya, draw no bet80%fair 1.25
Persepam Madura Utd, draw no bet20%fair 5.05

Double chance

Persebaya Surabaya or draw84%1.09
Persepam Madura Utd or draw37%2.50
Persebaya Surabaya or Persepam Madura Utd (no draw)79%1.17

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.63
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.91
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.62
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Under 2.5 goals44%2.16
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.52

BTTS

Both teams to score54%1.74
Not both teams to score46%2.01

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.60
Second-half goal80%fair 1.24

Team goals

Persebaya Surabaya to score87%fair 1.15
Persepam Madura Utd to score60%fair 1.66
Persebaya Surabaya clean sheet40%fair 2.51
Persepam Madura Utd clean sheet13%fair 7.69
Persebaya Surabaya to win to nil37%fair 2.72
Persepam Madura Utd to win to nil12%fair 8.33

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-010.8%
1-010.6%
2-19.9%
1-19.7%
3-07.3%
3-16.7%

Half-time / full-time

Persebaya Surabaya / Persebaya Surabaya41.2%
Draw / Persebaya Surabaya19.1%
Draw / Draw12.1%
Persepam Madura Utd / Persepam Madura Utd8.8%
Draw / Persepam Madura Utd6.2%

Questions about Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd

Persebaya Surabaya or Persepam Madura Utd: which side does the model back?

The model gives Persebaya Surabaya the best chance at 63%, with the draw at 21%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd correct score: what does the model say?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 56%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd?

The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Persebaya Surabaya find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Persepam Madura Utd in 60%.

What time does Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd kick off?

Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Persebaya Surabaya v Persepam Madura UtdPersebaya Surabaya to win, 63%
1.46Bet