Liga 1
PSM MakassarHomeLWWDL
1:0Half-time 0:0
Persebaya SurabayaAwayWDLWD262846
PSM Makassar winDrawPersebaya Surabaya win
PSM MakassarHomeLWWDLPersebaya SurabayaAwayWDLWD- Kick-off Thu 22 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.63 1.09 : 1.54
- Favourite
- 47% Persebaya Surabaya
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.32 | 3.22 | 2.01 | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.72 | 1.96 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Persebaya Surabaya to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya prediction: PSM Makassar 3.32 (1xBet), draw 3.22 (1xBet), Persebaya Surabaya 2.01 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.89 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.78 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.72 (1xBet) and no 1.96 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
Persebaya Surabaya or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.78
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.72
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Persebaya Surabaya, full-time Persebaya Surabaya
29% chance3.46fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.44fair
PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya prediction
PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya prediction, who wins and at what price
Persebaya Surabaya are marginally ahead in the PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya prediction, rated 47% to win this Liga 1 match on Thursday, 22 October 2026. PSM Makassar sit at 26% and the draw at 28%.
PSM Makassar are expected to score 1.09 and Persebaya Surabaya 1.54, so the total line is 2.63 goals; over 2.5 lands at 48% and BTTS at 54%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya is persebaya Surabaya or draw, a 74% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.24 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: PSM Makassar have won 2 of their last 5 with 3 scored and 5 conceded, Persebaya Surabaya 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 5.
How many goals in PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 52% and under 3.5 73%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 48%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.78 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from PSM Makassar scoring in 66% of runs and Persebaya Surabaya in 79%; clean sheets come at 21% for PSM Makassar and 34% for Persebaya Surabaya.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya: 1-1 (12.1%), 0-1 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.3%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Persebaya Surabaya, full-time Persebaya Surabaya is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.
Every market for PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya
The grid built from 1.09 and 1.54 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
PSM Makassar to win26%3.32
Draw28%3.22
Persebaya Surabaya to win47%2.01
PSM Makassar, draw no bet36%fair 2.82
Persebaya Surabaya, draw no bet65%fair 1.55
Double chance
PSM Makassar or draw53%1.63
Persebaya Surabaya or draw74%1.24
PSM Makassar or Persebaya Surabaya (no draw)72%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%1.89
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.69
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.87
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.82
Under 2.5 goals52%1.78
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.37
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.72
Not both teams to score46%1.96
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.44
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.02
Second-half goal77%fair 1.31
Team goals
PSM Makassar to score66%fair 1.51
Persebaya Surabaya to score79%fair 1.27
PSM Makassar clean sheet21%fair 4.67
Persebaya Surabaya clean sheet34%fair 2.98
PSM Makassar to win to nil20%fair 5.08
Persebaya Surabaya to win to nil31%fair 3.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.1%
0-111.1%
1-29.3%
0-28.5%
1-07.9%
0-07.2%
Half-time / full-time
Persebaya Surabaya / Persebaya Surabaya28.9%
Draw / Persebaya Surabaya16.3%
Draw / Draw15.6%
PSM Makassar / PSM Makassar15.1%
Draw / PSM Makassar10.1%
Questions about PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya
PSM Makassar or Persebaya Surabaya: which side does the model back?
The model gives Persebaya Surabaya the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 48%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. PSM Makassar find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Persebaya Surabaya in 79%.
What time does PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya kick off?
PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya starts at 08:30 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.