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Live 14 UTC
Liga 1 Round 8 Friday, 30 October 2026 FT
Persebaya SurabayaHomeWDLWD
1:1Half-time 0:0
PersijapAwayLLLDD
80137
Persebaya Surabaya winDrawPersijap win
Kick-off
Fri 30 Oct
Expected goals
3.30
2.65 : 0.65
Favourite
80%
Persebaya Surabaya
Over 2.5 goals
63%
model chance
Both teams to score
46%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.136.3013.201.422.492.031.67Bet
22Bet1.136.3512.201.382.631.931.75Bet
BC.Game1.186.4012.001.432.681.941.73Bet
Betwinner1.256.538.881.452.632.001.72Bet
Melbet1.256.538.881.452.632.001.72Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Persebaya Surabaya to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap are 1.25 for Persebaya Surabaya at Melbet, 6.53 for the draw at Melbet and 13.20 for Persijap at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.45 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.68 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.03 (1xBet) and no 1.75 (22Bet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

80%

Our prediction

Persebaya Surabaya to win
BankerExpected goals 2.65 : 0.65-0% against the best price
Double chancePersebaya Surabaya or draw
93% chance1.05
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.45
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.75
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
13% chance7.69fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Persebaya Surabaya, full-time Persebaya Surabaya
57% chance1.77fair

Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap prediction

Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap prediction, who wins and at what price

Persebaya Surabaya are a strong favourite in the Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap prediction, rated 80% to win this Liga 1 match on Friday, 30 October 2026. Persijap sit at 7% and the draw at 13%.

The goal expectancy is 3.30 in total, split 2.65 to Persebaya Surabaya and 0.65 to Persijap. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 63% and both teams to score 46%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is persebaya Surabaya to win at 80%. The best price in our comparison is 1.25 at Melbet, which implies 80%, so the model sits 0 points below the market.

For a safer line, persebaya Surabaya or draw covers 93% of outcomes at 1.05.

The draw sits at only 13%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches Persebaya Surabaya stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Persijap show 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 37% and under 3.5 58%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 84% and over 2.5 at 63%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 63%; Betwinner pay 1.45.

Both teams to score is 46%: Persebaya Surabaya find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Persijap in 48%. Persebaya Surabaya keep a clean sheet 52% of the time and Persijap 7%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (11.4%) and 1-0 (9.8%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Persebaya Surabaya, full-time Persebaya Surabaya is the top combination at 57%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.

All markets, Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap

The grid built from 2.65 and 0.65 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Persebaya Surabaya to win80%1.25
Draw13%6.53
Persijap to win7%13.20
Persebaya Surabaya, draw no bet92%fair 1.08
Persijap, draw no bet8%fair 12.99

Double chance

Persebaya Surabaya or draw93%1.05
Persijap or draw20%4.26
Persebaya Surabaya or Persijap (no draw)87%1.09

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.45
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.39
Over 4.5 goals24%fair 4.22
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.29
Under 2.5 goals37%2.68
Under 3.5 goals58%fair 1.72

BTTS

Both teams to score46%2.03
Not both teams to score55%1.75

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.29
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.29
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19

Team goals

Persebaya Surabaya to score93%fair 1.08
Persijap to score48%fair 2.09
Persebaya Surabaya clean sheet52%fair 1.92
Persijap clean sheet7%fair 14.08
Persebaya Surabaya to win to nil48%fair 2.08
Persijap to win to nil6%fair 16.13

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-013%
3-011.4%
1-09.8%
2-18.4%
4-07.6%
3-17.4%

Half-time / full-time

Persebaya Surabaya / Persebaya Surabaya56.5%
Draw / Persebaya Surabaya20.4%
Draw / Draw8.1%
Persijap / Persijap3.5%
Persijap / Persebaya Surabaya2.9%

Questions about Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap

Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap?

The model gives Persebaya Surabaya the best chance at 80%, with the draw at 13%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap correct score: what does the model say?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 63%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap?

The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. Persebaya Surabaya find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Persijap in 48%.

What time does Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap kick off?

Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap starts at 12:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Persebaya Surabaya v PersijapPersebaya Surabaya to win, 80%
1.25Bet